Primaries and Conventions in Texas

The political world goes in cycles here in Texas. Our legislature meets every other year, in odd years. So that half year (plus special sessions) is a busy time. And just as you’re catching your breath, primary season is upon us. If you think the primary election is just a day, you’d be missing all that gets put into motion after that—the convention season. And that’s somewhat more involved during a presidential election year, which this one is. The information below is mostly local, down to my county and precinct. But the conference information may be informative for others as well. Different states have different specific procedures, but most will have levels similar to ours.

My Campaign Adventure

I’ve been a precinct chair since 2014. I never had to campaign; no one else sought the job. I signed up to do it when my previous precinct chair moved and have always been unopposed on the ballot. But this year someone decided to challenge me. She doesn’t seem to have any complaints about the job I’ve done; she just wants to do it instead of me.

Block walking my precinct last week,
just before rain and nightfall shut us down,

Anyway, this means, because I’m on the ballot, I can’t be an election worker for the primary. Neither can my husband, who is usually our presiding judge. Instead, I’m campaigning.

There are a number of us precinct chairs with challengers. I don’t know how frequently active and effective precinct chairs get challengers, but it seems to be more than usual this year. (For some, it may have to do with our successful efforts to flip the school board, although I don’t think my challenger has that motive, that I’m aware of.) Anyway, we’ve worked together. I’ve got a campaign website, business cards, and flyers—all because of skills my other precinct chair friends have. And we’ve block walked my entire precinct—every known Republican voter. Talked with many, left info for those who weren’t home. We’ll get back to those with phonecalls or another visit. I’ve helped block walk some of the other precincts too. We’re not leaving any voter’s door unknocked on.

It has been a lot of work to do an unpaid, volunteer, grassroots-level position. But so far it has been a good experience.

This may not be interesting beyond my precinct, but here’s my campaign website. There’s a lot of other information for voters there as well. My goal is always to give voters the information you need to be an informed voter—and to get ideas from you, the grassroots, to influence our government.

 

CANDIDATE FORUM

I’ve mostly made up my decisions about other campaigns. I plan to write about my reasons soon. But I’m interested in a candidate forum of the four Republican candidates for Sheriff, sponsored by Cypress Texas Tea Party, next Thursday. The four candidates are Glenn Cowan, Joe Danna, Paul Day and Mike Knox. (Personally, I am leaning toward Glenn Cowan. I have heard him speak in person a couple of times. But I’m open to hearing from all these candidates.)

When: Thursday, February 15th, 7PM.

Where: Spring Creek BBQ

Address: 25831 Northwest Fwy, Cypress, TX 77429

 

VOTING

Our Sample Ballot is now available.

Early Voting: February 20-March 1, 7:00 AM-7:00 PM (every day except Sunday, February 25, with hours Noon-7:00 PM)

Election Day: Tuesday, March 5, 7:00 AM-7:00 PM

You can vote at any voting location for both Early Voting and Election Day. You can find locations here; toggle between Early Voting and Election Day locations. Our usual location at Truitt Middle School will be available. My husband and I won’t be running the polling place, because I am on the ballot. But you might see me outside, beyond the 100-foot line, campaigning. Come by to say hi.

The Democrats will be sharing our voting location. Because of interpretations of law, we must share the election, which we have never done. That means that you declare your party at the sign-in table, and you will be assigned only the ballot you have requested, which will be available on any machine, the way it works during Early Voting. We may set up the room to be physically separate, but if one side has a long line, the voters can use the other side’s line.

 

CONVENTIONS

The way we get ideas from the grassroots up to the lawmakers is through conventions. In a convention, we elect delegates to the next level convention, and we put forth resolutions for the platform at the next level. If you want to participate in a next-level convention, you will need to have been chosen as a delegate at the previous level convention.

Precinct Convention

The basic level is the Precinct Convention. We used to hold these at the polling place after the polls closed. Because of the change to countywide voting, and the change in machines and the time it takes to close the polls, we have needed to change the meeting to another day. Starting in the last biennium, we now meet the Saturday following voting day. In Harris County, precincts will share locations with the other precincts in our Texas House District (we are in HD 138).

Date: Saturday, March 9

Time: Registration begins 8:00 AM; Convention begins 9:00 AM

Our Location: Trini Mendenhall Community Center, 1414 Wirt Rd, Houston, TX 77055

Here is the full list House District locations:

·        HD 126 - Glorious Way Church, 11611 Champion Forest Dr, Houston, TX 77066

·        HD 127 - Kingwood Middle School, 2407 Pine Terrace Dr., Kingwood Area, TX 77339

·        HD 130 - Spillane Middle School, 13403 Woods-Spillane Blvd, Cypress, TX 77429

·        HD 132 - Autumn Creek Baptist Church, 6735 Barker Cypress Rd, Houston, TX, 77084

·        HD 133 - Hilton Garden Inn Energy Corridor, 12245 Katy Fwy, Houston, TX 77079

·        HD 135 - Autumn Creek Baptist Church, 6735 Barker Cypress Rd, Houston, TX, 77084

·        HD 138 - Trini Mendenhall Community Center, 1414 Wirt Rd, Houston, TX 77055

·        HD 148 - Glorious Way Church, 11611 Champion Forest Dr, Houston, TX 77066

·        HD 149 - Hilton Garden Inn Energy Corridor, 12245 Katy Fwy, Houston, TX 77079

·        HD 150 - Spring First Church, 1851 Spring Cypress Rd, Spring, TX 77388

The convention should be over easily by noon, or as soon as business is completed. Plan on attending this meeting. Bring written resolutions with you, or come and simply give input on the resolutions others have brought. We will vote on our resolutions (this includes the ability to amend them).

And we will elect delegates for the Senatorial District Convention. We are given a generous number of delegate slots; according to party rule, each precinct is allowed to have 1 delegate for each 25 votes cast in the Precinct for Governor Abbot in the 2022 November election. If you want to be a delegate at that convention, most of the time that simply entails saying you want to be one. (If you want to be a delegate but simply can’t make the Precinct Convention, there is a procedure to try to make that happen. Please contact your precinct chair.)

 

Senatorial District Convention

Senatorial District Conventions will be held Saturday, March 23. The SDs will meet at locations in or close to their district. We are in SD 7.

Date: Saturday, March 23

Time: (probably) 8:00 AM registration; 9:00 AM Convention begins

Location for SD7: Glorious Way Church, 11611 Champion Forest Dr, Houston, TX 77066

Here is the full list of SD convention locations for Harris County:

·        SD 4:   Kingwood Community Center, 4102 Rustic Woods Dr, Kingwood, TX, 77345

·        SD 6:  Gulf Meadows Church, 8012 Fuqua St, Houston, TX, 77075

·        SD 7:  Glorious Way Church, 11611 Champion Forest Dr, Houston, TX, 77066

·        SD 11:  Gulf Meadows church, 8012 Fuqua St, Houston, TX, 77075

·        SD 13:  Norris Conference Center, 816 Town & Country Blvd., Houston, TX, 77024

·        SD 15:  Norris Conference Center, 816 Town & Country Blvd., Houston, TX, 77024

·        SD 17:  St. Basil the Great Orthodox Church, 1100 Eldridge Pkwy, Houston, TX 77077

·        SD 18:  Glorious Way Church, 11611 Champion Forest Dr, Houston, TX 77066

Many parts of Texas do these conventions by county, or sometimes multiple counties together. It depends on number of voters. We do it by SD in Harris County, because we’re such a large county. So, if you don’t know when yours is, contact your county Republican Party Chair.

There will be a Temporary Committee (a committee invited by our SD Chair) that works on the resolutions between the Precinct Convention and the SD Convention. I have worked on this committee every biennium since 2014. Many hours go into preparing our SD 7 Platform. We, as well as a few other SDs in the state, do an entire platform. It’s based on the previous biennium’s platform, but we address every plank, whether to keep, delete, or amend, and then add planks based on the hundreds of resolutions that come in from the precinct conventions. Most SD or County Conventions simply go through the resolutions that have come up to that level, combine similar ideas for the best wording, and then submit those resolutions for the State level convention. Any way it’s done, this is the path up for ideas from the grassroots.

There are also a lot of speeches at a convention. Allen West spoke
at our SD 7 Convention in 2020.

At the SD Convention, we elect Permanent Committee members—this will be for Platform, Rules, Legislative Priorities, Credentials, and maybe other committees I’m not thinking of. In Platform Committee we work on additional resolutions that are brought in that day. Then we bring to the floor our Committee Report—our version of the SD 7 Platform. That’s the version we bring to the floor for amendments and final vote. And then that final platform will be submitted to the State’s platform committee.

We will also elect delegates to attend the State Convention (the RPT Convention). Usually we are allowed to elect 2 delegates and 2 alternates (in my experience, there is always room for alternates to be seated as delegates at the state convention; however, that isn’t a guarantee). If you want to be a delegate at the State Convention, you must be chosen as a delegate (or alternate) at the SD Convention. Sometimes there are at-large positions available, which you can apply for. Most people who want to be delegates to State can do so. You can, of course, attend the State Convention as a guest, but you cannot vote on anything.

Attendance is at the delegate’s own expense. This is usually a moderate attendance fee (toward facilities, etc.), plus hotel, meals, etc. You may also want to plan on bringing spending money; there are booths, pop-up stores, swag sales, and such convention things. Note that the Republican Party of Texas Convention is the largest political gathering in the nation, larger than the National Republican Convention. More about the RPT Convention below.

 

The State RPT Convention

The 2024 Texas State Republican Convention will be held in late May, earlier in presidential election years than in midterm election years, because it will be followed by a national convention.

Date: May 23 – 25

Time: begins 9:00 AM Thursday, May 23

Location: Henry B. Gonzales Convention Center, 900 E Market St, San Antonio, TX 78205.

A Temporary Committee will handle Platform and other committee work between the SD conventions and the State Convention. These committees are comprised of a single appointed representative from each SD. The higher the level, the more formal the process. Plan to see Roberts Rules of Order in all meetings, with committee members addressing the Chair rather than each other. At precinct and SD/County levels, these conversations are likely to be much more informal.

Platform Committee taking testimony, June 2022, view from the table;
I was managing the file, sitting next to the Chair.

These committees do a lot of work before the convention, and will take testimony in the three days prior to the State Convention, to prepare their Temporary Committee Report (their version of the State Platform). Then, when the convention gets underway, Permanent Committee members are elected in their SD Caucus; these are often the same representatives as in the Temporary Committee, but not always. The Permanent Committee has one day to take testimony and prepare the document for print. Their final report (their version of the platform) is presented for the body to amend and vote on, which happens some part of Friday or Saturday, usually near the end of business at the State Convention.

In presidential election years, at the State Convention we also elect delegates to the National Convention. This usually requires some brief campaigning and speech making to convince people. I think this vote takes place in your Congressional District Caucus at the convention. (We are in CD 38.) Travel, etc., is done at the delegate’s own expense, and is likely to be over $1000, so you need to really want to do it.

This year’s National Republican Convention is scheduled to be held July 15 to 18, 2024, at the Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

The national party platform is developed in a similar way to the lower levels, taking input from the various states. The national platform may be considered the official party platform. But at the state level, we keep our full platform and use it to advise the legislature here in the state, as well as guidance for our Senators and Congressmen.

The big purpose of the national convention is to decide on the party’s presidential candidate. Sometimes, by the time of the convention, this is something of a formality, because the choice is already known, following the various state primaries. It looks like that will be the case this year, with Donald Trump eclipsing any other candidate. I’ve seen my sample ballot, but I didn’t even notice the names of the several other presidential candidates.

Once this decision is finalized, there’s a lot of celebrating. Sometimes the candidate will announce a running mate. I don’t have any idea who that will be this year, so that’s news to anticipate.

After this convention, then the campaign season is fully on, from mid-July until the first Tuesday of November.

 

So that’s the summary of this year’s Primary/Convention season. The more you know about the process, the more effective you’ll be at getting your grassroots ideas up through the ranks to the elected officials.

Data, Debates, and Dystopia

Today’s post is about three somewhat disconnected things: coronavirus data, the senate district convention, and mayhem of anarchists. Maybe we’ll relate them somehow.

Coronavirus Data

I spent some time yesterday going over coronavirus data. We’ve been opening up here in Texas, with enough time to see if there’s a spike. I wanted to see if there was anything to worry about. The county judge says she’s going to issue a new stay-at-home order in a day or two, although it looks like the community is going by the governor’s recommendations regardless of what she says. That means we’re entering phase 3, in which restaurants and some businesses can open at 75% capacity.

The Houston Chronicle has provided a page of data every day since March 31^st. It has a map of cases per county, and other charts. Mainly the page gives cumulative cases and deaths, with an ever-rising chart. Of course ever-rising. Because those numbers aren’t going to go down. There are other places to look at data that recognize a given estimate of recoveries; I think that number is low, but at least it doesn’t imply that each new case means the total number equals people wandering around possibly infecting you.

More useful data are daily new cases and daily additional deaths. And then, we need to ask questions to know what we’re seeing. Case counts and death counts both depend on when things get reported. Some numbers might be held over a weekend, or accumulate for a particular lab for a couple of days, and then it appears there’s a spike when there really wasn’t. So it’s more accurate to look at the 7-day rolling average. That means you look at the last 7 days, add them together, and divide by 7, to get the average of those 7 days. There’s a new number each day, but it’s less volatile and provides a more accurate picture than a simple daily count.

So, using all those daily counts, I figured out the 7-day averages and made charts. Here’s the 7-day rolling average of new cases in the Texas.

Yes, there has been an uptick in cases. But, unlike when this first started to spread, we are behaving differently. We’ve educated the public enough to know to protect the elderly, who are most susceptible to a severe case. And people with preexisting conditions know to be more cautious for their own safety. That means, even when there are more cases, that doesn’t necessarily mean that many more deaths.

There’s a lag of one to three weeks between the cases chart and the deaths chart. Here’s the 7-day rolling average of additional deaths in Texas. We’re not yet seeing anything like a surge in daily deaths.

Some people are predicting a dangerous surge in deaths in a week or two. We may see some, but the goal always was to keep from overwhelming the medical resources. I think it’s safe to say, we’re going to stay within those parameters.

I wanted to know things more locally. I didn’t have ready access to daily death rates covering this same area, but here’s a chart of the 7-day rolling average of new cases in the Houston area (Harris County plus several surrounding counties). There was an uptick a week after Memorial Day, but it appears to be going down already.

One thing I’m finding frustrating is that “confirmed cases” seems to be low. We don’t know actual death rates for those who contract the virus. Estimates are that Texas is probably 0.1% to 0.5% by the end of this. But if you do the math of confirmed cases to fatalities, Texas is at about 2%.

I looked up data by zip code. Mine is still fairly low. I was surprised to see there have been 2 deaths; there hadn’t been any when I looked a couple of weeks ago. There have been a total of 136 cases. That comes out to 1.47%. We know the death rate is not actually that high. So why is the “confirmed cases” number so low, causing the skewed death rate? That’s been frustrating from the beginning.

I found this chart helpful for perspective. It compares deaths per 100,000 in the US (green), Texas (yellow), and Harris County (red). Texas is still way below the US average. Harris County has at times been below the Texas average, but right now they’re about the same. But, unless something drastic happens that causes us to go up where the US average was during its apex, which still didn’t overwhelm the system, we ought to feel safe opening up cautiously.

Data put together by Leslie Joan May

Senate District Convention

I’ve been thinking about the data, again, because this weekend is our District Convention. This was supposed to be held back on March 21^st, but the stay-at-home began the Saturday before that—a date we’ve been able to keep track of, because Mr. Spherical Model broke his ankle that day, so stay-at-home orders coincided with his need to heal. He’s back to walking and doing physical therapy—not quite at full capacity, but getting there, which seems like a good comparison.

Anyway, the senate district convention could have as many as 300 people, although maybe less this year because of the virus and people’s worries. Masks are welcome but not required. This is the biggest (only) gathering we’ve been to since early March.

I don’t expect a guarantee that I’ll be safe. But I want to be safe, without having to spend the entire day breathing through a mask if possible. Hence the dive into the data.

I’ve been on the resolutions committee—that is, the platform writing committee. We took all the resolutions submitted by precincts, compared them to what is in the 2018 state platform, decided what to incorporate, worked on wording, and worked on improving wherever we could.

When we get to the district convention, we temporary committee members get installed as permanent committee members, and then we consider additional resolutions and testimony, and put together a draft for the entire floor to consider. Then that gets taken to the state convention in July.

[Note: I heard today that, because of logistical challenges related to the national convention, they will not update the national platform this year.]

I don’t know how to predict what the floor will find important. Sometimes the arguments there surprise me, because I think we committee members are pretty agreeable on conservative philosophy. But here are a couple of things I think will get noticed.

On abortion, we’re shifting from an incremental, piecemeal approach to an abolish-all-abortions single bill strategy. It’s time, I think. Decades of the other approach have not gotten us where we want to be. And every incremental bill tacitly enshrines the right to kill innocent human life. Certainly there will be arguments about the tiny percentage of unwanted pregnancies related to rape or incest—which happen against the choice of the woman—and also instances where the life of the mother and the baby can’t both be preserved (the latter of which the platform does acknowledge). But the platform isn’t to write law; it’s to present philosophy. So we’ll see how that goes. Texas is already behind other states taking this approach.

We’ve added in some concerns about contact tracing, which have come up during the pandemic. Contact tracing is a somewhat useful tool at the very beginning of an outbreak, to completely prevent the spread. Once the spread has happened, it’s almost useless. What it does do is put a lot of power into the hands of government bureaucrats. Picture, for example, you go to dinner, and someone at the restaurant—someone you don’t know and did not even have close contact with—learned the next day that they had covid-19. Everyone that person was around for the past couple of weeks gets notified. You get contacted, because you were at the restaurant; contact tracing uses, for example, a phone app to track you. You are then required to be in quarantine (lockdown without being able to go out for food or other essential reasons) for at least two weeks. At last you’re released, and you go to the grocery store to resupply. The next day you get informed someone at the grocery store tested positive, so you’re required to quarantine for at least another two weeks. And so on.

During none of this time are you sick. You don’t prevent any spread, because you never had the disease. But your life, your livelihood, and your “pursuit of happiness” are denied you by a government entity exerting more power than is useful. If you volunteer for such tracing, that’s up to you. But forcing it on healthy law-abiding citizens is unacceptable in a free society.

Another issue relates to gun-free zones, which can include churches, schools, theaters, places of businesses—anyplace that declares itself to be a gun-free zone. A place that denies citizens the right to protect themselves is held liable for their protection. It’s a pretty simple idea that hopefully will cause businesses to think about the ramifications before declaring themselves a gun-free zone. Again, this isn’t legislation; this is the expression of ideas.

Anarchy

The temporary committee finished our work two weeks ahead of the convention. Since that time, there’s been a breakout of protests, riots, and anarchic terrorism. I expect we’ll see a resolution or two to address that. Conservatives think it’s bad. Are there reforms to be made for various police departments across the country? Maybe, although my sense is (according to the data I’ve looked at) that the need is highly overblown—for the purpose of stirring people up to anger. I don’t think it’s wise to cede any ground with these people.

The anarchists who have seized ground in Seattle are, I think, an example we should be noticing—to prevent any pandemic spread of their diseased thought processes.

Someone posted the Revolutionary Abolitionist Movement’s 10 Points of Action. I think these are put out by the CHAZ (Capitol Hill Autonomous  Zone) militants in Seattle. I’ve responded to each one.

Image found on Facebook, my comments added.

I'm reminded of the inane demands made by Occupy Wall Street, back in the olden days of the previous administration. And I'm wondering if some of the same supporters of that encampment are supporting this one. You can find a list of those OWS backers here.

In a normal world, you would see that, if you set yourself up in a “fortress,” walled in, with the enemy on the outside, you survive only as long as you have supplies. These guys don’t have any resources inside. They’re using electricity, water, cell service and even their barricades from the City of Seattle. They had some food. But they invited a bunch of homeless people in, who stole all the food. Because—no laws, no police. So, using their cell phones, these militants against the greatest military force on earth asked for donations of vegan meat replacements, oats, soy, and other “foods” to be delivered to them.

Seattle's lost hill, called CHAZ
image from here

The city, in an effort to be accommodating (for unfathomable reasons), provided port-a-potties.

While streets are blocked, they are allowing residents of the 500 or so homes and businesses in their non-America to come and go when they provide ID (which, of course, comes from the enemy state).

To thinking people, this is ridiculous. Send in the national guard to round them up, prosecute them, and be done with it. With some luck, the good guys (America) won’t even have to shed their blood.

But Seattle’s mayor, and apparently Washington’s governor, don’t seem to be thinking people. And people voted them in. It’s the same problem as in Minneapolis; the people voted these anti-Americans in. So I don’t know how to predict how this will go.

It’s untenable to allow the seizure of US soil by anarchic terrorists.

It has always seemed to me that, if you could lay out the truth, the facts, and the philosophy clearly, people will of course choose freedom, prosperity, and civilization. So it has been confusing to me why so many people eschew the good and purposely choose tyranny, poverty, and savagery.

One explanation is that we live in apocalyptic times. But I’ll save that discussion for another day. In the meantime, I guess we watch what’s happening and hope it stays far away from home.

Speaking of—Harris County Commissioners Court met on Tuesday and discussed police reform, but stopped short of calling outright for defunding the police force. The county attorney reminded them that they have no power to direct other elected officials, such as the county sheriff or the DA, to do anything; they are instead accountable to their voters. So nothing much came of it, at least for this month.