Saturday, February 17, 2024

Primary Ballot Picks

The Texas Primary is March 5, with early voting starting this coming Tuesday, February 20. I’m finding this primary season less contentious, or maybe simply with fewer contested races, than in past primary seasons. So there are fewer races to focus on.

I’m going to go through my Republican sample ballot below, and share my views, in hopes of helping to inform other voters, starting at the top of the ballot, the US and statewide races, on down to local, and finally the propositions.

I look back on this blog, started in 2011, and feel pretty solid about what I’ve said. The few places I look back and feel like maybe I was wrong had to do with candidates. I have always been cautious about supporting candidates. It’s easy to trust God; it’s not so easy to trust people. But you do have to decide who is the best candidate at the time, based on the information available to you, added to your own feelings. Maybe even in the times I look back with disappointment on past candidate choices, those might have been the best at the time. Maybe they were worth trusting—until they made trust-losing decisions. This is to say, add my comments to what you already know, and make the best, most informed decisions you can.

I use a standard in trying to decide on candidates. I write this in more detail here. I don’t always get a chance to go through these questions with a candidate—in fact, I rarely do. But I try to discern what their answers might be from whatever else I can learn about them, from their campaign literature, sometimes candidate forums, sometimes from friends and other sources I trust. In the past, I’ve even had grids showing at a glance what various sources choose. I won’t this time, simply because there aren’t as many controversial decisions. Where I can, I’ll share the endorsements of other sources.

I suggest iVoter Guide. Put in your address and get the races on your ballot. If you click on “View Candidate Profile,” you’ll get more info, including the candidate’s responses to a questionnaire related to conservative issues.

Also, True Texas Project offers their choices for about 40 counties, here, and a one-page sheet for statewide races, here. My choices align pretty closely with theirs.

For the most part, I won’t be covering races with no primary challenger, but I will be voting for those candidates. The races I’m paying the most attention to are Harris County Sheriff, House District 138, and Harris County Republican Party Chair. Plus, it turns out there’s some info worth discussing related to three Criminal Court of Appeals races.

This piece is long, so use it as a resource and scroll to the races you’re trying to learn about. I’ve highlighted my choices. And my sample ballot is available on my precinct chair campaign website; scroll down to see it.

 

US RACES

PRESIDENT

This is often the most contented and important race on the primary ballot. Those tend to be open years, when the other party has many candidates. We have many candidates on the ballot this year too, but it’s more like a second-term presidency year. Donald Trump is far and away the favored candidate. As far as I can tell, every other candidate except Nikki Haley has dropped out, so a vote for those candidates will be wasted. There are two on this list—Ryan L. Binkley and David Stuckenberg—are totally unfamiliar to me. I didn’t watch the debates, although I paid attention to some follow-ups to them. But Trump wasn’t there, so what was the point? I did watch his interview with Tucker Carlson, which coincided with a debate and received a much higher viewership.


from Donald Trump campaign website

Some of these people I have liked, in the past or even still. I liked Nikki Haley as ambassador to the UN. But what I really wanted was for us to withdraw from the UN. Since then, she seems to me to be a RINO who never finds a war she doesn’t want to fund—at our expense. In other words, even if Trump were not in the picture, I would not consider her.

I think Ron DeSantis has been a good governor in Florida. He didn’t run a good presidential campaign. I think we are all better served with him continuing as governor. He seemed to grasp that too, after the Iowa Primary, which left him in a distant second place to Trump.

To make this short: I’m voting for Donald Trump for President. And the more the Democrat machine attacks him with lawfare, the more determined I am to support him.

US SENATOR from TEXAS

I was surprised to see Ted Cruz has two challengers, Holland “Redd” Gibson and R E (Rufus) Lopez. I haven’t heard of either of them. I’m a precinct chair, so my contact info is easily available to any candidate, and I wasn’t even aware of them. Nor do I recognize their names, at all, from the decades I have participated in Republican politics in Texas.

Ted Cruz has remained strong and rational. I enjoy his podcast, Verdict, which often offers useful inside information. No need for more discussion here. I’m voting for Ted Cruz for Senator.

US REPRESENTATIVE, DISTRICT 38

Wesley Hunt has no challenger this year. This is the end of his first term—the first term in the existence of CD 38, which was created after the 2020 census. I had supported a close friend and strong conservative in the primary two years ago. Wesley Hunt was always a no-show at any of the several forums where I expected to hear from him. I had met him years before, running for a different position, and I didn’t think he was the best choice then either. He won the primary but lost that election. He has also been closely aligned with Dan Crenshaw—both military guys. I supported Dan Crenshaw in 2016, but he has been one of my candidate disappointments. All that said, Hunt hasn’t been a disappointment. His votes are typically conservative. He has spoken up on a few key issues and appears to represent us well. My expectations were low, but he has surprised me and some friends with how well he’s doing. There’s no choice here, but I’m glad to vote for Wesley Hunt.

US REPRESENTATIVE, DISTRICT 7, and Other Congressional Districts

This is a nearby district, challenging a Democrat incumbent, Lizzie Fletcher. Other than a candidate forum this past Tuesday (I didn’t attend; I was out block walking), I haven’t really noticed the race. But Ballotpedia offers links to the four Republican candidates:

Tina Blum Cohen 

Carolyn B. Bryant 

Caroline Kane 

Kenneth Omoruyi 

You can get more information, and better detail, from iVoterGuide. True Texas Project has endorsed Caroline Kane.

 

TEXAS STATEWIDE RACES

RAILROAD COMMISSIONER

This is a strangely named position in Texas. It has mainly to do with Oil & Gas. There are three RR Commissioners, who come up on the ballot in different years. The incumbent on this year’s ballot is Christi Craddick. I’m pleased with her work. iVoter Guide rates her as next to highest level conservative. The one challenger who provided information, James Matlock, is less conservative. True Texas Project has unanimously endorsed Christi Craddick. I’m voting for Christi Craddick.

JUSTICE, SUPREME COURT, PLACE 4

John Devine and Brian Walker are the two candidates. True Texas Project has unanimously endorsed John Devine. Texas Home School Coalition also endorses him. He was first elected to this position in 2012 and continues to be a solid member of the court. His campaign site is here. I am voting for John Devine.

PRESIDING JUDGE, COURT OF CRIMINAL APPEALS

The two candidates are David J. Schenck and Sharon Keller. Keller is the incumbent of 21 years. Keller will reach age 75 during the upcoming term and would be replaced at that time by a governor appointee. I voted for her in the past. However, this year there is strong support among my conservative friends for David Schenck.

It appears the deciding factor was the Texas v. Stephens case, in which there was election fraud, the county DA declined to prosecute, and Attorney General Paxton prosecuted in an adjacent county. The Court of Criminal Appeals voted 8-1 that he couldn’t do that, based on Article II of the Texas Constitution, which says no member of the state’s executive, legislative, or judicial branches of government “shall exercise any power properly attached to either of the others, except in the instances herein expressly permitted.” Paxton disagrees with the ruling, saying it gives power over election fraud cases to Soros-funded DAs, and it will be devastating for Texas elections in the future. [You can read the entire case decision here; Judge Yeary’s dissent begins on p. 22.] 

I tend to agree with Paxton on this one—and with Yeary’s dissent (as far as a lay reader can understand it). It seems to me, Paxton, while technically an elected official under the executive branch, is akin to the DOJ in the federal government. It would be like saying the DOJ has no power to prosecute, because that’s a judicial function, even though prosecuting crimes against federal law is the express purpose of the position. AG Paxton is called on to represent Texas in the law, including to prosecute cases against Texas law, but these judges are saying, “You can’t do it without the permission of the local officials complicit in the crime.” Texas Scorecard points out, “The ruling upended more than seven decades of precedent and has been criticized as activism disguised as originalism.” This affects Harris County, where we have a DA that refuses to prosecute election fraud, or illegal immigration, and sometimes violent crime. Democrats think Kim Ogg isn’t extreme enough for them, so she’s being challenged in the Democrat primary by someone even much worse.


The three incumbent Criminal Court of Appeals judges targeted for replacement
in the Republican Primary, from left, Presiding Judge Sharon Keller,
Judge Michelle Slaughter, and Judge Barbara Hervey, image from here.

Some are calling it political, but Paxton has targeted specifically Presiding Judge Sharon Keller, Judge Michelle Slaughter, and Judge Barbara Hervey, who are the three Criminal Court of Appeals justices thwarting him who are up for re-election this year. Read more here.

True Texas Project is unanimously supporting Schenck. iVoter Guide doesn’t include judicial races. For information about any of the statewide or appeals district races, Texas Judges provides basic information here. Schenck’s campaign website is here. I am voting for David Schenck.

JUDGE, COURT OF CRIMINAL APPEALS, PLACE 7

The two candidates are Gina Parker and Barbara Parker Hervey. Hervey is the incumbent. For the same reasons as above, conservatives are supporting the challenger. Hervey also will reach age 75 during the upcoming term and would be replaced by a governor appointee. Gina Parker has the unanimous endorsement of True Texas Project. Her campaign website is here. I am voting for Gina Parker.

JUDGE, COURT OF CRIMINAL APPEALS, PLACE 8

The two candidates are incumbent Michelle Slaughter and Lee Finley. This is the same issue as those two criminal court races above, but there is some disagreement on this one, I’m not sure why. When True Texas Project first came out with their recommendations, they had selected Slaughter. Their list was used by those handling my campaign (for precinct chair) website; at that point I hadn’t yet done my deep study, and I couldn’t see anything to disagree with, so I went with their picks. However, TTP has since changed to endorse Lee Finley, and I have become aware of the issues with these judges. My friend who did the sample ballot on my website has already changed his sample ballot to choose Finley. For consistency with the other two criminal appeals races, that makes sense. However, my SREC (State Republican Executive Committee) representative is still going with Slaughter. So is Texas Right to Life (they endorse challengers Schenck and Parker, however, in the other two races).

Slaughter has held the office since 2018, so this completes her first term. Lee Finley is a lawyer in Collin County (Ken Paxton’s home county), and a former Marine (1990-1994). The link to Finley’s campaign here. His Facebook page is also active.  He gives a good brief explanation of the ramifications of the bad ruling in Texas v. Stephens, which go far beyond election fraud, in this short video from an event. 

While I would have liked meeting any/all of the three challenger candidates for Criminal Court of Appeals, I’m willing to go with what I’ve seen. I’m voting for Lee Finley in this race.


From left, David Schenck, Gina Parker, and Lee Finley,
candidates for Criminal Court of Appeals,
photo from Finley's Facebook

 

STATE DISTRICT RACES

STATE SENATOR, DISTRICT 7

Paul Bettencourt is the incumbent. He has no primary challenger, which is as it should be in his case. We continue to rely on him to help us in our cause for good limited government. I’m happy to vote for Paul Bettencourt.

 

STATE REPRESENTATIVE, DISTRICT 138

Lacey Hull is the two-term incumbent. Jared Woodfill is the challenger. I have good friends championing both. I supported Lacey Hull in her first election. I didn’t in her primary two years ago. She had moral issues in her personal life that conflicted with who she represented herself to be. She sides with Dade Phelan way too often. And yet, she is part of the Freedom Caucus and can generally be counted on for a conservative vote. She doesn’t tend to sign on to anything as a co-author, to help move important bills along. This has brought her an F rating from Texas Right to Life and a D rating from Texas Values Action PAC, noting that she supports casino gambling, which typically leads to $2 spent on social costs for every $1 of revenue brought to the state. (Sands Casino donated $27,000 to her campaign.)

That said, even after I didn’t endorse her two years ago, she has been friendly to me and willing to meet with me. The most troubling thing this past session was her vote to impeach AG Paxton, on 48 hours notice, with no direct testimony or evidence presented, and no chance for defense. The ensuing Senate impeachment hearing, in which Paxton was acquitted and we all saw that the evidence was innuendo and hearsay, was a waste of time and taxpayer money that could have been avoided by more House members doing their due diligence.

This is to say, I was willing to look at a primary challenger. Jared Woodfill was the Harris County Republican Chair when I was signing up to be a precinct chair. He lost his election as Chair at the same primary where I was elected precinct chair. I didn’t see any particular problems with him then. I tend to be amazed that there are people who would take on what is essentially a full-time unpaid volunteer position. Since then, I continue to see his name involved in lawsuits, particularly related to moral cases. He has close ties with Dr. Steve Hotze. I get Hotze’s newsletter. He often has good, conservative messaging. However, he puts out his slate of electors—as I do, although his has much greater reach—and his choices are often at odds with mine, particularly when I’m looking for a strong grassroots constitutional conservative, and he goes with the long-time party insider or known Rino. People say his slate is pay-to-play. In other words, the candidate makes a donation or buys an ad, or whatever the requirement, and then they can get an endorsement. I don’t know if that’s true; I just notice the difference of opinion.

Jared Woodfill presents himself as a solid Christian conservative. He probably has a record long enough to verify that, although not as a legislator. He is saying he wants to replace Dade Phelan as House Leader. We all want to replace Phelan—but we don’t all mean we want to be the replacement, especially immediately upon being elected. That gives me pause.

I have been undecided far longer than I ought to be in this important race. I have had opportunities to be campaigned to up close and personal, as a precinct chair, but I didn’t go to the events, which would have pushed me to commit and endorse. What I wanted was an open forum, with questions from the audience. I had looked forward to a candidate forum at the Cypress Texas Tea Party last month, but a late change in date because of a scheduling problem with the venue led to both of them declining.

My SREC committeeman supports Lacey Hull. I have gone with him to her office. She has been accommodating, as I said. One of my block walking friends in my precinct strongly supports her. She shared with me a negative piece of mail she got from Coalition for Good Government about Woodfill. They mention a child sex abuse case involving a Southern Baptist leader and Woodfill law partner, with stories dating April 2018 (Houston Chronicle), March 2023 (Texas Tribune), and January 2024 (Click2Houston). The negative add implies Woodfill knew and failed to report, and that he has had shady business dealings and is surrounded by fake conservatives.

I simply don’t know how to tell what is true. I suspect we will get some conservative work from either of them, along with some disappointments. While I am not endorsing in this campaign, at this point I am leaning toward Lacey Hull, where I kind of know what to expect.

 

JUSTICE, 14TH COURT OF APPEALS DISTRICT, PLACE 3

The candidates are Steve Rogers and Tonya McLaughlin. I heard Rogers speak at our Cypress Texas Tea Party meeting in January. (Recording is here.) 

There’s a chart of basic information on candidates in this race done by Texas Judges here

I'm voting for Steve Rogers in this race.

 

HARRIS COUNTY RACES

HARRIS COUNTY SHERIFF

The four candidates, as listed on the ballot, are Mike Knox, Joe Danna, Paul Day, and Glenn Cowan. I’ve been aware of Mike Knox, former City Councilman, and Joe Danna, who has been running essentially since the end of the last campaign, for a long time. I’m less familiar with Paul Day. Glenn Cowan got on my radar a few months ago. He spoke briefly at our Cypress Texas Tea Party. And I’ve heard him and run into him a time or two since. He’s hard to miss; he’s 6’10” tall. My husband is 6’6”, so it takes something well beyond that to make me think, “Wow! That guy is tall!” Such is the case with Cowan. I understand he is also the father of triplets. That could make for some fun family basketball.


Glenn Cowan, candidate for Harris County Sheriff,
screenshot from here

I don’t have anything against any of the candidates, but I had been leaning toward Cowan for a while. He seems very competent in the particular skills needed for the job. And he’s a strong constitutional conservative. But I wanted to know more, so I was pleased that Cypress Texas Tea Party had a candidate forum for all four this past Wednesday. Each candidate got around 15 minutes, to introduce themselves and to take some Q&A. I was able to record the meeting. You might find these useful, in the order that they spoke:

·        Glenn Cowan 

·        Paul Day 

·        Mike Knox 

·        Joe Danna 

I thought Cowan did well, although he doesn’t appear as impressive here as I’ve seen before. Still, it was a good showing. Mike Knox probably looks the part of a Texas sheriff, with a cowboy hat, handlebar mustache, and just enough Texas accent. His most recent experience has been in city government, and it has been a while since he was in law enforcement. He also lacks the hostage negotiator experience that Cowan has. But with name recognition, he’s a formidable opponent.

Paul Day is older and has hostage negotiator experience similar to Cowan. He started out life as a Democrat and now calls himself a constitutional conservative. I asked for his conversion story in that context; he misunderstood and answered about his conversion for regular Lutheran in a household that didn’t give him all the background he needed to realizing abortion was wrong and some other things, and he became born again. That was not the conversion story I had asked for. It’s easy to misunderstand things when you’re in front of a crowd, but he didn’t win any points from me. Joe Danna was OK.

I would be willing to support any of these candidates in a general election. They would all be better than the Democrat incumbent, who is allowing rampant crime. (Houston is now the number 1 hub for human sex trafficking in the nation, not a distinction this conservative Christian state and community deserves.) My guess is the top vote getters will be Cowan and Knox. All the conservative sources seem to be aligning behind Cowan, probably for the reasons I am. We think he has the right stuff. I am voting for Glenn Cowan.

 

JUSTICE OF THE PEACE, PRECINCT 5, PLACE 1

The two candidates are James Lombardino and Arlene Hecht. This JP district is the area south of Hwy 290 and west of the 610 Loop. Lombardino is an experienced judge (8 years as a district court judge), one of those good Republicans swept out in the 2018 election, which we’ve been struggling to recover from ever since. He spoke at our Tea Party meeting in January, not on the agenda but invited up to say something briefly. He has occasionally attended over the years, not just when campaigning. Video here.

Hecht is a defense attorney. She ran for a district judge position in 2020 but didn’t win. While she also claims she is running for the JP position to clear the backlog, she doesn’t have the track record as a judge running a docket and lowering the backlog, which Lombardino has. There’s a Houston Chronicle story here. JP Precinct 5 has a large number of eviction cases, exacerbated by the incumbent’s mishandling of 2020 COVID funds and rules. And it also has a high number of debt default cases. While I have nothing against Hecht, she is less experienced, so I’m going with a known quantity. I’m voting for James Lombardino in this race.

 

HARRIS COUNTY REPUBLICAN PARTY CHAIR

The two candidates are incumbent Cindy Siegel and challenger Bobby Orr. Many of us are wondering why a disrupter would come in, in a presidential election year, to tear down and build up. Many of us wondered that the last time it happened, when Paul Simpson was ousted. People started talking about changing the rules so that such elections would happen in the HCRP Executive Committee meetings where precinct chairs are comprise the committee, who are the people working with the Chair, rather than tossing it out there to the primary voters, who have much less contact with the chair. It caused a mess last time, and a resignation, with lack of funds and organization just weeks before the November election. People don’t want that to happen again. What’s more, people are satisfied with the way Cindy runs things.


HCRP Chair Cindy Siegel (on the right) gives her report at the
HCRP Executive Committee Meeting, January 29, 2024.

Bobby Orr came to our Tea Party in January. My phone gave up during his talk; I got most of it, but in two parts, but it didn’t seem worth posting. My impression was that what he was proposing to do was exactly what we already did to flip our school board: block walk and campaign like crazy to known Republican voters. Orr said that was the model he wanted to use for all of Harris County. What he fails to see is that we did this with Cindy Siegel as chair. We didn’t need new leadership to do it. And we didn’t need Bobby Orr either.

He pretty much torpedoed his campaign by being caught on a recording saying that he hated the grassroots and didn’t want to work with an of us crazy people. So that means, when he says he’s going to inspire the whole county to do what we did in CFISD (Cypress-Fairbanks Independent School District), he’s lying to our faces.

The final nail was at the January 29 HCRP Executive Committee meeting. There was a resolution gaining signatures ahead of the meeting in an attempt to censure Cindy Siegel. There was a list of 8 or so items they were accusing her of—all of which seemed to me either lies or spin. Siegel started the meeting by going through that list, item-by-item, with charts and receipts, defending her actions, simply as part of her Chair's report. It was very satisfying when, after other business, someone called for the meeting to adjourn before that resolution could even be brought forward. From my viewpoint, that was effective leadership on Cindy Siegel’s part.

Some of the accusations relate to a disagreement between Siegel and Orr about fighting voter fraud. There are multiple cases (which I’ve written about). You can’t get good candidates, if they know they can’t win, because their best efforts will be stolen from them and the party turns a blind eye. But the accusation that funds were used that could have gone to campaigning is also false. Funding to cover the lawsuits was a grant/donation earmarked for that purpose, so the campaign funds were not touched.

Let’s hope the voting public goes with the incumbent. We need her to stay, especially this year. I am glad to be voting for Cindy Siegel.

 

PRECINCT CHAIR 622

I’m the last race on the ballot. I think I’ve been a hardworking, effective precinct chair. Being a precinct chair means taking time to build relationships, both in the precinct and with the rest of the grassroots and elected officials. I’ve been doing that for 10 years. You can learn more at my campaign website. Those of you in my precinct, I hope providing information like this is useful to you. Vote for Linda Nuttall.


Linda Nuttall. That's me, from my
precinct chair campaign bio



 

BALLOT PROPOSITIONS

photo of page in the Link Letter,
January 2024, Volume 32, #1

Ballot propositions on a primary ballot are different from those on a November ballot following a legislative session. The November ones come out of the legislature, bringing possible state constitutional amendments before the people. The starting assumption on those is to vote NO unless you’re convinced it would be an improvement to have that written into our state constitution as law.

A primary ballot proposition is non-binding. It is a way for the grassroots of the party to tell the legislature what is important to us. This is in addition to the State Platform and the Legislative Priorities, both of which come out of committees at the State Convention. The list is approved by the SREC (State Republican Party Executive Committee), the two representatives from each senatorial district in the state. That does not mean these are approved unanimously. While the assumption is a YES vote unless you’re convinced it would be wrong, the SREC can have individually diverse opinions. My SREC committeeman, Tom Nobis, suggests voting no on Proposition 1 and Proposition 7. I didn’t get his reasoning from him.

Brandon Waltens of Texas Scorecard discusses the 13 proposition here

Proposition 1 would eliminate all property taxes without increasing Texans’ overall tax burden. That was in the 2022 State Platform; plank 90 calls for eliminating property tax, and 91 offers an incremental way to reach that goal. People making the argument point out many elderly people who have had to sell their homes, which were paid for, because they couldn’t afford the property tax. This isn’t hypothetical; it happens to people in our neighborhoods. This denies actual property ownership and looks more like paying rent to the government, which will evict you if you don’t pay up. There may be some concern about the word “all.” But this is just to get the attention of the legislature, not to write the law itself. If there needs to be some nuance, that could be debated on any specific bill.

Proposition 7 is about access to gold and silver for use as legal tender. Plank 46, Resistance to the Great Reset, has a bullet point related to this. So, again, there’s widespread approval among conservatives for this concept. So I don’t know the arguments against it.

I haven’t done a deep dive on the Propositions yet. My plan is to vote YES on all propositions, unless I learn something between now and voting day.

It’s important to vote. It’s even more important to be an informed voter. I hope this has been helpful.

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