Monday, February 14, 2022

Primary Picks—Part I: Statewide Races

Today is already the first day of early voting in Texas. I’m sitting down today to go through the ballot and figure out—and share—who’s getting my vote in the various races.

I’ve been working hard on the Mark Ramsey for Congressional District 38 campaign. That has left me less time to go over all the others. So some I’m still fuzzy about. But at least today I can put together the info I have. Whatever happens in these races, I’m ready to support the Republican candidates in the general election, barring some catastrophic news I can’t foresee.

Today I’ll get through the statewide races. The local races and judicial races will take additional posts later this week.




Governor

Governor Greg Abbott has a number of challengers this year. People outside Texas might not be aware of reasons for displeasure. We have a conservative state. We’re not locked down. Business is growing. In fact, businesses—and people—from locked down states are moving here in droves.

Public Service Announcement: Y’all are welcome here, but leave your blue state politics behind.

Anyway, what has Texans riled can be summed up with pandemic response government overreach. Governor Abbott, in campaign materials, is claiming Texas is successful because we didn’t lock down. But we did. It was comparatively short, about four weeks, a week longer for “nonessential” businesses. Then it became a local prerogative. But we did shut down. Remember the Shelley Luther, Dallas salon owner, who was arrested for opening back up a few days early? She had people on her payroll who needed income for food and housing; after a month she had to open up. So, yes, we did shut down. And it took quite a long time before the state stopped local jurisdictions from forcing lockdowns and mandates.

And mandates—that’s another thing. We never actually had mask or vaccine mandates statewide. But we didn’t get the governor to step in against them until fall 2021. A year and a half of allowing local places to impose mask mandates—on school children, on workers, on private businesses, on churches. And vaccine mandates were allowed under certain circumstances—like for healthcare workers, regardless of whether they had natural immunity. Governor Abbott’s executive order to stop mandates came at the end of the third special legislative session. That means it was his fourth opportunity to put forth an executive order at a time that the legislature could then follow up to make it lawful. But he waited until it was too late for the legislature to act—until 2023.

Back a decade or more earlier, Governor Rick Perry got into trouble with Texans by calling for a vaccine mandate of Gardasil for young women. It’s intended to prevent the spread of some causes of HPV (human papilloma virus), an STD that can lead to cervical cancer. But it had been tested on women 16-26 old—so untested on those younger, and he was requiring it for 12 and up. There were risks, including a few deaths. And it is totally unnecessary for young women who are not sexually active. He seemed shocked when there was an uproar against his mandate.

What I don’t understand is any elected official who claims to believe in the Constitution—and I’ve been a big Abbott fan in the past for his ability to articulate constitutional principles—thinking they have authority under any circumstances to force people to put something into their bodies. Ever. Even if it’s a massive Ebola outbreak. Go ahead and make a recommendation. But do not suppose you control the sovereign bodies of individual citizens.

Add to this disappointment the lack of response to the conservative grassroots and their legislative priorities.

So, Governor Abbot has challengers. There are many, but foremost are Allen West, Don Huffines, and Chad Prather. I have good and bad to say about each. You can see candidate forums here and here. Governor Abbott did not participate. I also recommend checking out the Conservative Coalition of Harris County voter’s guide and questionnaires. If you go to their website, you can get their recommendations in a page or two; they only endorse when a candidate gets 70% of their board’s support. You can also click on the level of race—federal, state, county—and get the questionnaire answers that the candidate submitted, and links to other information that candidate provided. This is for Governor and the other state, congressional, and county races.

Allen West, former military, former representative in Florida, until he was redistricted out of his district and couldn’t retain the seat. He moved to Texas—his wife’s choice after lots of military-required moves in their life. Two years ago he ran for state GOP party chair. Name recognition paid off. We had a good administrator in that position. But the grassroots elected West—during that weird convention where we were forced at the last minute to do the largest political gathering in the country (world?) online, purportedly because of COVID-19. There were tremendous problems involved—including denial of service hacking. Eventually, then, West took over the remainder of the convention. And we never really finished. We didn’t get to discuss the platform. We put off handling remaining business. It was a mess. Not necessarily caused by him, but not relieved by him either.

Then he steps down less than a year before the next convention (to be held in person in Houston in June 16-18). I have friends who explain this. There was a rule that he couldn’t run for governor while holding that other elected office, and he felt the need to run for governor. There are those who thought he only ran for RPT chair as a step to something higher, and now it appears they were right.

West talks a good conservative message. I like that. And he’s charismatic enough to draw people in. But I have yet to see him actually succeed in administration.

Then there’s Don Huffines. He’s a former state senator from near Dallas, with a good conservative voting record. He has an unfortunate way of sounding like a used car salesman, but there are times I’ve been leaning toward him. However, in the forums there have been a couple of things that trigger a negative response. One is his push for replacing state property tax with some version of a consumption tax, not necessarily a bad thing. He explained that he’s run the numbers. We run a surplus in Texas, and that should be used to buy down property taxes, and over time we can convert to a consumption tax. But, he says this will only take 8 to 10 years. That may very well be true. But no one can go into office with a plan that they may not be there to complete and expect it to happen. What mess would we be in if we were halfway there—with consumption taxes increasing to take over for property taxes—and then some other leader comes in and keeps the property taxes too?

Then there’s Chad Prather. When he got in the race, people couldn’t tell if he was serious. He’s an entertainer, with a show on The Blaze, where he does political commentary. And he’s known for being provocative, in a Texas sort of way. He started out doing YouTube videos from his truck, wearing a cowboy hat. The things he said rang true and spread. Sometimes what he says, though, is too spicy for my taste. But in the forums, he actually comes off as the most conversant in the Constitution and how government should be run according to those principles. He’s intelligent, articulate, and convincing. What I don’t know is whether he could actually translate those principles into running a state that’s something like the 12th largest economy in the world. The principles work—every time they’re tried. But would he have the influence to implement the correct principles?


Chad Prather, image from his campaign website

What I expect to happen is that Abbott will win the Primary, and he will handily be reelected against Democrat challenger Robert Francis “Beto” O’Rourke, who lost against Ted Cruz in a Senate race a few years ago. This is the Beto who said, “Heck, yeah, we’re taking their guns,” but has suddenly now modified to saying he’s a great fan of the 2nd Amendment. That’s not going to convince anyone here in Texas.

Anyway, I plan to do something of a protest Primary vote, possibly for Chad Prather, maybe Huffines. This is to let Governor Abbott know that we expect better from him. Then I’ll support Abbott, who is light years far and away better than the likes of former Congressman Beto, who shouldn’t be elected to anything ever again.

I’m going to have to be briefer about the rest of these races.

 

Lieutenant Governor

Lt. Governor Dan Patrick is from our part of Texas. He was state senator for my district before this position. We want to like him here. But, as with Governor Abbott, we feel disappointed. When he put out his priorities at the beginning of last year’s legislative session, it did not fully encompass the grassroots legislative priorities—the things the state convention voted on that they wanted the legislature to accomplish. Of our 8 priorities, some version of 4 got passed, and that was better than any previous Republican-led legislature in the nearly two decades of GOP leadership. Still, what happened to the other things? Why, for instance, couldn’t we get a vote on the Senate floor once our school choice bill made it out of committee—with the support of even a Democrat committee member? The Lt. Governor is leader of the Senate. His priorities get done. But this priority did not.

So, again there are challengers: Daniel Miller (website here); Trayce Bradford (website here); Aaron Sorrells (website here); Zach Vance (website here); and Todd Bullis (website here). There was a candidate forum (Patrick did not attend) in Wise County; video here.

 

Daniel Miller is probably the most well-known. He heads the Texas Nationalist Movement (Texit—I wrote about it here), although he’s not talking about that much on the campaign. He would probably see to it that the question gets put before the people of Texas, which is all he’s been asking for—and that is in the party platform. It just never gets anywhere in the legislature, which it must go through first. His book on the subject is convincing, and I’ve leaned toward that. But in truth I want the United States to remain whole and return to the Constitution. So, until that becomes impossible, I think that’s where most Texans are. Nevertheless, Miller knows the law and the Constitution—and the state constitution—better than most. I also have liked some of what Aaron Sorrells said in the forum.


Daniel Miller, image from his campaign website

 

So, again, I may do another Primary protest vote here, probably for Daniel Miller, in the hopes that Lt. Governor Patrick will wake up to our displeasure that he hasn’t kept faith with us. I think he can do better.

 

Texas Attorney General

Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton (campaign info here) will have primary challengers in 2022. He has made national news, and again those outside Texas (and many inside) will wonder why the challengers. There is a corruption lawsuit always looming in the background; his defense seems to be saying that it is not criminal, not that it wasn’t done. I don’t know enough to say. But there have been a number of issues where my lawyer son Political Sphere has raised questions about his incompetence. My disappointment has been his slowness to prosecute election fraud—even when the evidence is laid out for him in detail from people I know who did the investigation here in Harris County.

 

The challengers include current Texas Land Commissioner George P. Bush (campaign info here), former TX Supreme Court Justice Eva Guzman (campaign info here), and US Rep. Louie Gohmert (campaign info here).

 

Eva Guzman,
image from her campaign website
George P. Bush is a Bush, which is a drawback this decade. He was actually educationally qualified to be Land Commissioner. People were upset about his handling of the Alamo preservation approach. Mostly I was not. But he had some transparency issues, to which he eventually opened the books. That said, I don’t see evidence that he’s qualified to be Attorney General.

 

Louie Gohmert is a US representative, and has been pretty reliably conservative. He also ruffles feathers. That’s a good thing, if also effective in making good things happen. Son Political Sphere doesn’t trust that he can translate that into Attorney General skills.

 

Eva Guzman, on the other hand, is a former state Supreme Court justice, and definitely has the skills and demeanor. I doubt that she’ll have enough push to oust an incumbent, but I would be pleased to see her in that position. So I’ll give her my vote in the Primary.



Texas General Land Office Commissioner

Dr. Jon Spiers,
image from his campaign website
The Texas Land Commissioner position is open, as GLO Commissioner George P. Bush is running for a different office. The candidates are Dr. Jon Spiers (campaign info here), State Senator Dawn Buckingham (campaign info here), former Texas Real Estate Commissioner Weston Martinez (campaign info here), Ben Armenta (campaign info here), Victor Avila (campaign info here), Rufus Lopez, Don W. Minton (campaign info here), and Tim Westley (campaign info here). Texas Scorecard has video conversations with five of the Texas Land Commissioner candidates here.

I haven’t spent a lot of time on this race. My first impression is to support Jon Spiers. He’s from here locally, so I got somewhat acquainted with him several years ago. He was one of eight candidates in the Congressional District 2 race after the retirement of Rep. Ted Poe; Dan Crenshaw won that race, but several of the candidates were impressive. Spiers was quite good on the Obamacare issue, which was on all our minds at the time. And he was good on other issues as well. He’s a former heart surgeon turned medical attorney (an accident made it impossible for him to continue doing heart surgery, so he went to law school). He seems thoroughly conservative.

I suggest, again, looking at their videos. And also check the Conservative Coalition of Harris County voter’s guide and questionnaires. 

 

Texas Agriculture Commissioner

 

Texas Agriculture Commissioner Sid Miller (campaign info here) will be challenged by Rep. James White (campaign info here) and Carey Counsil (campaign info here). Texas Scorecard article here. Texas Scorecard has video conversations with the each of the three candidates here. Again, this is not a race I have spent a lot of time on. There are whispers of some corruption that I can’t seem to get clarity on. Maybe true, maybe spin, maybe just an attempt to discredit for political reasons. I don’t know. But my outside view is that Sid Miller has been a good Ag Commissioner, and I plan to vote for him.


Sid Miller, Texas Ag Commissioner
screenshot from this campaign video

 

 

Wayne Christian,
image from campaign website
Texas Railroad Commissioner

 

The Texas Railroad Commission is a three-person group who handle oil & gas/energy in the state. There are long historical reasons for the name, which seems confusing. But this is really about the energy industry in Texas. Only one of the three is up this election. Texas Railroad Commissioner Wayne Christian has several challengers. All candidates include Wayne Christian, Tom Slocum Jr., Sarah Stogner, Marvin “Sarge” Summers, Dawayne Tipton. I suggest, again, the CCHC questionnaire, which also shows links to their websites and social media. But my impression is that Wayne Christian has done well enough and will get my vote.

 

 

Texas Comptroller

 

This is essentially an accounting, or treasurer position.  Mark Goloby is challenging Glenn Hegar for Texas Comptroller. Goloby campaign info here. Hegar campaign info here. Goloby is actually precinct chair of my next-door precinct. He spent several years accomplishing putting an end to the Chapter 313 problem. He spoke at our Tea Party on this. It wasn’t an easy issue to take on, because it takes some explanation (I never seem able to repeat the explanations afterward). I supported him in that effort and was glad the legislature finally did what was needed—which was actually to do nothing, to not renew. But Goloby is saying the Comptroller hasn’t yet updated practices. And there are some other issues.

 

Overall I think Glenn Hegar has been a good Comptroller. One story I read acknowledged this, but added that he ought to deal with the issues brought up by his challenger. If he does that, we can be satisfied. So Hegar will get my vote—and we’ll be watching.


Glenn Hegar, image from campaign website

 



Next up, in a post later this week, will be the US congressional races and other local and county races. There are a few statewide judicial races, but rather than include them today, I’ll handle them in a separate post that will include local judicial races as well.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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