Thursday, March 26, 2020

Innovation


One of the characteristics of a free civilization is innovation. Finding new solutions to problems that come up. In fact, in a free society, new problems are an opportunity. If you can come up with a solution—a way to help people with a given problem—then you get shown appreciation for that, often in the form of payment to represent the value. But, regardless of immediate payback, innovation happens, because free people have an attitude of looking for ways to meet the needs of others.

That kind of thing has been going on during this pandemic crisis.

There have been calls for the president to invoke the war powers act, which technically he has done. But, as he says, and as the Surgeon General has reiterated, you don’t have to order people to do what they’re doing anyway.

Here are some of the solutions to problems that have been offered.

Ford Motor Company—also GM and Tesla—offered to build ventilators to meet the shortage. Because of air conditioning, heating, and circulation systems they build into cars, they just need to do a bit of retooling. 

What’s interesting is that it’s something they knew about their industry, when they recognized society’s need, that a central government planner would not have known. If government had needed to choose an industry to gear up and make more ventilators, it probably would have turned to the obvious—the manufacturers already building those things. But those companies are probably already functioning at near their capacity, which was built on what had been the demand for their supply. They would have had to build new factories from the ground up. Auto manufacturers just have to retool their existing manufacturing, to adapt toward producing the needed ventilators. No new buildings necessary. They offer, and the President says go for it, and thank you.

It’s a win-win. Rather than shutting down their facilities, because shutdowns caused by the virus had led to fewer people buying cars, the automakers can keep people working to produce something considered essential.

New Dyson-invented ventilator
image from here

Dyson, the vacuum cleaner manufacturer, also went into innovation mode. In just ten days they invented a new ventilator—adapted from the air-moving machine they already know so well—and are set to produce 15,000. Thank you, vacuum cleaner people; government hadn’t thought of you. 

Innovation is underway everywhere. In hospitals, where ventilators are in use, Dr. Alain Gauthier, an anesthetist in Ontario, Canada, thought, “What if this one ventilator could be adapted to serve more than one person at a time? Does it produce enough air pressure?” The answer was yes. With ten minutes of “evil geniusing,” he turned a single ventilator into one that could serve nine patients.   Dr. Gauthier brought the knowledge to bear, but he didn’t invent it; he watched a YouTube video that showed how two Detroit doctors reworked the machines back in 2006. Not all machines can provide that much added capacity; nine is an ultimate. But even doubling or tripling the usefulness of a single machine is a significant improvement.

tweet from a coworker of Dr. Gauthier
found here


Another problem in need of a solution is a shortage of surgical masks. I checked online the first day I heard about the virus spreading—back in January. Amazon was sold out. They let you put a note on your account to be notified when they become available again. So far they haven’t. That’s OK for me; I’m not a medical professional. In a pinch, I think we’re good with a few painting masks in the garage—which, by the way, are being used now by hospitals, since that is a perfectly adequate new source in a shortage.

A high school friend is a quilter, and posted
these masks on her Facebook page.
Someone came up with the idea of sewing surgical masks, and they put out a pattern. They may not be as safe for healthcare workers as the N-95, but they will be better than running out and may be adequate for less critical care. Quilters and crafters have been using their fabric scraps and sudden abundance of time to fill the demand for face masks—with color. And they’re using social media to find sources to get them where they can get used.


Just setting your mind to a problem is a way toward solving it. Back in 2017, here in Houston, we were using a whole lot of N-95 masks when mucking out flooding homes, to keep from breathing in mold spores and other illness-causing things. Our church was one of many to send out work teams, and our worldwide relief efforts supplied a lot of supplies. (We still have a generator at our house, supplied by the Church, from Hurricane Ike, for example.) And they continue to do that worldwide

Anyway, a stake president (leader over around ten congregations) in College Station, about an hour and a half from Houston, remembered that they had stored a box of supplies at the church building after Harvey relief. Our churches aren’t really set up for storing things, but many of them do have yellow Helping Hands shirts and a few leftover supplies in a box because of frequent disasters in the Gulf Coast region. That box came to mind when he became aware of the N-95 mask shortage. And, sure enough, there was a good supply of several hundred he was able to donate to local hospitals.

The way a free society is set up, people tend to think in terms of solving people’s problems. It’s what we do. And I’m happy to see that, so far during this pandemic, that’s what people are up to. If we keep it up, we’ll be out of this soon, and back to our regular lives—with maybe a little better appreciation for the innovators and problem solvers. And our free lives.

Monday, March 23, 2020

Crisis Legislation

When a crisis comes up in your world, who do you turn to?

I turn to God, who has all power.

Some people turn to government, which has all the power—that is, all the power we people had already, that we granted to government to do for us—plus all the power it usurped from us.

Neither God nor government is a wish-granting service.

I plan to continue turning to God for what is actually essential. And I’ll keep an eye on government because of its power-usurping propensity.

One of my concerns during this pandemic is government response. Will it be enough to do what we need for protection of life, liberty, and property? Or will it be an interference that will do the opposite of the life-liberty-and-property-preserving goal?
CDC Coronavirus illustration, found here


We’re in the middle of things, and there’s so much we don’t know that I can’t clearly predict. But I want to have a way of looking at things that is principle based, which means it will apply even in these unusual circumstances.

Should everyone not in a critical job be staying home, working from there if possible, or just waiting things out and hoping to recover economically later? I think so. We’re doing that. We worked from home beforehand, so it’s our non-work life that is largely affected. That doesn’t mean we’re not economically affected. It has been scary.

And what about all those little businesses, working so very hard to make a success of things? This isn’t their fault. This isn’t—as the crisis in 2008 was—the result of a whole lot of really bad business decisions. This is more like Hurricane Harvey, where a disaster came upon us. Some businesses got wiped out. Others held on and slowly worked their way back up.

In that case, the rest of the economy—outside the flood zone—was doing pretty well. This time, there is no outside unaffected zone.

I think a government disaster response is appropriate in this case—to preserve life, liberty, and property. So now it’s a matter of what response is appropriate.

This past weekend the Senate put forth a bi-partisan relief bill, of almost $2 trillion. There have already been two other bills; this is a phase 3. The purpose is to keep businesses and individuals afloat so that, after the crisis has passed, the economy can naturally get back into full production. If there’s mass bankruptcy, that will greatly hinder a bounce back.

However, the Congress, led by Nancy Pelosi, put the kibosh on it.   It wasn’t to her liking. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell is angry. My Congressman, Dan Crenshaw, is angry—and as a veteran specially trained to take strategic action rather than give in to emotion, anger is not common for him. 

I think I have questions we can ask about what might be acceptable in such a relief bill:

·         Does this mitigate economic damages to businesses and individuals caused by the virus and our response to it?
·         Does this help preserve businesses so that recovery will be possible faster following the end of the crisis?
That’s pretty simple, in theory. If we have such a bill, it should help individuals get by for now, while they may not be able to work for no fault of their own or their employer’s, so that they can continue to have food and housing necessities. And it should help businesses who would otherwise face bankruptcy or massive downsizing (job losses)—not because of their bad decisions, but because of the pandemic’s effect on supply and demand—so that those businesses still exist and can keep people hired, or hire people back on, following the crisis. Without businesses available to hire people, it will be a longer, harder time to get back on our feet economically.

But the House Majority Whip James Clyburn let slip their real reason for refusing to accept, reject, or even discuss the bipartisan Senate bill that was sent to them: “This is a tremendous opportunity to restructure things to fit our vision.” Similar to Rahm Emmanuel, Obama’s chief of staff, referencing basic Marxist theory when he said, “Never let a crisis go to waste.”

House Majority Whip James Clyburn and Speaker Nancy Pelosi
photo credit Greg Nash, image found here

In the Spherical Model, we can see that it’s a tyranny approach: use the fear people have during chaos (create the chaos, if you need to), so you can offer them security if they will just grant you power over their freedoms. You move from chaotic tyranny to statist tyranny, because they’re really close together.

As a result of the Democrat stonewalling, the market dropped this morning. If the procedural vote had gone the other way, chances are good the market would have had a bit of a rally.

Rep. Crenshaw sent out examples of what the bipartisan Senate bill would have done:

·         Provide immediate relief to businesses large and small. Payroll, rent, and utility expenses FORGIVEN for small business loans.
·         ‪Put cash in the hands of Americans in need with direct payments.
·         ‪Bolster unemployment benefits for people out of work.
·         Limit relief money from going to CEO compensation or stock buybacks.

Rep. Dan Crenshaw post, from Facebook
Then he passed along examples of what the Democrats put in their 1,119-page alternative emergency relief bill: 

·         Conduct risk-limiting audits of results of elections.
·         Bail out the US postal service from its current debt.
·         Compare pay among racial and ethnic minorities.
·         Require early voting nationwide.
·         Require same day voter registration.
·         Protect collective bargaining and official time for federal employees.
·         Require airlines to fully offset their carbon emissions.
·         Improve consumer information regarding release of greenhouse gases from flights.
·         Modify minimum funding standards for community newspaper plans.
While this wasn’t on the list he sent out, I heard from The Blaze that Pelosi was trying to put an abortion slush fund into the coronavirus relief bill. And Guy Benson added in a tweet, expansion of wind and solar tax credits.

Apply the questions. Pelosi fails to convince me that postal debt, same day voter registration, taxpayer-funded abortions, or alternative energy tax credits will help mitigate damage to anyone, businesses or individuals, who might be suffering economic damage caused by the virus and our response to it.

Earlier today on the STA Money Hour, the guys were talking about this game-playing by the Democrats, on a show that is rarely political: 

This is an illness, a global pandemic that came from some other part of the world that ultimately infected our country, and now we have to deal with this. And we have told businesses and people to just shut it down. Close your doors. Stop coming in. So there is the demand shock, and then there’s the supply shock, because you can’t get anything made, can’t get anything bought, unless it’s just generally the essentials.
And that’s what these payments are for. To vote that down because ultimately it didn’t provide things that they wanted longer term is unbelievable to me.
They agreed that, with all the gains of the first three years of the Trump presidency wiped out suddenly, while not his fault, the recession we’re probably already in will cause political difficulty for his reelection. However, the obvious game playing by Democrats in this time of crisis is shameful and ought to cost them politically as well.

At the Spherical Model, we have a general list of questions about whether a policy is a proper role of government, or will be an interference that will cause unintended consequences, likely the exact opposite of the stated purpose. These are the questions:

·         Is the policy being debated something that an individual has the right to do, and therefore has the right to delegate to his/her government? 
·         Does the policy infringe in any way on natural right, including but not limited to those enumerated in the Bill of Rights?
·         Is the idea being debated a proper role of government, as enumerated in the Constitution?
My reflex is to say, if there’s an economic problem, government should do nothing but get out of the way. So I’m definitely skeptical that whatever is in the $2 trillion Senate relief bill answers those general questions the right way. But, if something indeed should be done this time, then, under difficult circumstances—time pressures, and legislators themselves being quarantined—we won’t get “perfect,” and may have to settle for “acceptable for now.” We’re doing damage control—for our economy and, probably later, for our Constitution.

At least I see reason to trust my Congressman to be asking these questions and applying them to policy. And I’ve been pleased with our president’s approach of involving the free market, rather than dictating to it.

What I don’t trust are Democrat legislators who see this crisis as leverage to purposely go against our Constitution, against the proper role of government, and against the good of the American people.


via GIPHY


Thursday, March 19, 2020

Look to Literature


With a global pandemic going on, if you’re spending more time at home than usual and wondering what to do, maybe it’s time to read a book or two, or ten.

We’re in the middle of this pandemic, so maybe there’s some literature to enlighten us. I’m avoiding The Hot Zone or I Am Legend for now. I’m less interested in the fear, looking more at the strategic and moral questions and how they’ve been handled.

cover image from here
Last week, I think it was the very day we were directed to avoid gatherings of ten or more people, I was in the middle of Brandon Sanderson’s The Hero of Ages, third in the Mistborn Saga. That series is made up of two trilogies, the first three from an earlier age, and the second three of a later age—early industrial age, with trains and guns, but still the semi-magical aspects of the earlier trilogy. I’ve read them all, mostly out of order. This is the last one for me, the third in the earlier trilogy.


One of the main characters in The Hero of Ages is a leader named Elend. He’s now the emperor, after the defeat of the Lord Ruler in the previous book—which ended up setting free an evil force that is wreaking havoc in their world.

There are a couple of significant oddities in their world: mist and ash. The dark mist comes out at night. People have been superstitious about it for centuries, worried it can harm them. But the ones with the special powers know the mist is safe, just a part of nature. Until now.

Now the mists are starting to kill people. Also, the mists are coming earlier, before dusk, and staying later, after dawn, encroaching on the day and shortening the time the sun is out for crops, so the food supply is threatened. It’s further threatened because of the falling ash, possibly from some distant volcano. This ash is very black, not a normal ashy gray, and the growing ashfall has to be shoveled off paths and crops each day, also threatening the food supply.

So, in this natural disaster, Elend is trying to gather forces to fight off the evil. I don’t know how all of that is going to go yet. But he’s moving an army toward a nearby city state that has some particular resources they will need. The plan is to negotiate if possible, but fight if necessary.

Meanwhile, the mist is attacking villages, and anyone out and about. It is like a plague. It doesn’t strike anyone indoors, even inside a tent such as the soldiers are housed in during their trek. So the soldiers can safely stay inside until the mist passes. But that is getting later and later in the day.

The mist seems to arbitrarily attack some and leave others. And among those attacked, some are killed that very day, while others remain ill and then recover—leaving some of their cohorts worried that they are cursed somehow. But once the mist has passed over someone, they’re impervious to any future mist attack.

Elend realizes that they can’t get into a battle while his troops are hiding in their tents until the mist passes. They could be attacked by an army of mist survivors. What he realizes they have to do is purposely expose themselves. All of them. While they are far enough out from the city to be safe from attack.

He knows he will lose men. He is calling on them all to risk their lives: follow his order and probably survive to become inoculated soldiers, but possibly die. These are healthy men, so he hopes that will be in their favor. But he thinks long and hard before giving the order.

By the way, an exact 16% die. To the man. Of those attacked with illness, they remain ill for exactly 16 days. Something weird is going on. But now they have data to work with.

OK, so that is one approach: mass exposure, acceptable casualty rate—with the survivors becoming an immune population.

I’m looking at the ways various countries are handling this Wuhan novel coronavirus known as COVID-19.

Elend’s way looks something like Italy or Iran. His 16% is a pretty high casualty rate—ours is unknown because exposure is unknown, but will probably turn out to be more like 1-3%. But we live in an age where wiping out even one or two of every group of a hundred we participate in looks pretty ugly. Also, Italy has an older population, which seems to be more susceptible to serious illness. And serious illnesses require hospital beds, ventilators, and other resources that aren’t usually required in such high numbers. Italy’s leaders are making the tough decisions about who gets those resources. And the world looks on horrified as they decide not to treat people over age 80, but just let them die. 

Korea has been possibly the most successful. To start with, they knew not to trust the Chinese government. With their first case, they caused “social distancing,” as we’re doing here. And they tested widely. Anyone who tested positive was put in absolute quarantine. Having testing resources was a huge bonus for them, which we are just ramping up to here.

Other countries have been trying other methods. Quarantine the elderly and immune-system compromised, while others can go about their lives almost as normal. Denmark is trying this; we’ll get data from them that can be used in future decision-making. If it works, it’s less financially devastating than semi-quarantining everyone—or totally quarantining everyone, as China has had to do. Great Britain was on the Danish path but found casualties too high and moved toward more general lockdown.

We’ve had a more general lockdown in the US, getting more and more strict as the virus spreads. The plan here is to lengthen the time frame for people to get the virus, so that the supply of beds and ventilators and other resources does not get overwhelmed. To “flatten the curve,” as they say, based on this graph:

image from here

People have been spreading a meme that says, “Hey, remember when everyone rushed to the store to buy toilet paper at the same time and it ran out before the supply could be restocked and everyone freaked out? Now imagine the same thing at your local hospital. But instead of TP that’s out, it’s beds and ventilators. That’s why everything is cancelled. That’s why you should stay home.”

Another book that came to mind during this crisis is Sinclair Lewis’s Arrowsmith. It’s about a doctor/researcher. It has been too long since I last read it, but I remember a couple of things about Martin Arrowsmith, the main character. He is pretty flawed. He has some idealistic reasons for researching cures for plague outbreaks. But there is also a lot of excitement at the chance to take on a real life problem, to have personal purpose. Arrowsmith wants to find out who he is, and be more than he has been. And he needs to be better. His wife, Leora, and his mentor, Dr. Gottlieb, give him support in that quest. Gottlieb describes their world in religious terms:


To be a scientist—it is not just a different job, so that a man should choose between being a scientist and being an explorer or a bond-salesman or a physician or a king or a farmer. It is a tangle of very obscure emotions, like mysticism, or wanting to write poetry; it makes its victim all different from the good normal man. The normal man, he does not care much what he does except that he should eat and sleep and make love. But the scientist is intensely religious—he is so religious that he will not accept quarter-truths, because they are an insult to his faith (p. 267).
Often Arrowsmith is restless and dissatisfied. Then comes the excitement of a real outbreak in the West Indies. Bacillus pestis among rats, spreading to people, thought at first to be just a flu. He has the opportunity to experiment. And the ethical dilemma of experimenting on people. But he goes. And he makes what he thinks is likely to be a cure. Tragedy strikes. And guilt. And resolve. Go ahead and read it.

The book, from a century ago, is way behind the science of today. But it’s probably still worth reading, because it’s more about the life inside this man’s mind than it is about science (although a scientist did help Lewis with the writing of it).

I watched a video a couple of weeks ago, on body language, looking at a CNN interview with Dr. Robert Redfield, head of the CDC. Mandy, the bombardsbodylanguage.com commentator/instructor, points out how his face lights up, and he smiles, talking about what we would normally consider bad news. But this man is a scientist, with responsibility over outbreaks such as this. His work has suddenly gotten very exciting. He’s not thinking about the mass casualties or economic disasters about to befall us; he’s thinking about what energizes him: the opportunity for new and exciting discovery. This might not seem like a normal human response, but it is normal for a type of person who does a specific type of work—and we need people who do that work. 

CDC Director Dr. Robert Redfield
screenshot from here

There are actual people out there, doing research, working for a response to this virus as fast as they can. Just this morning Glenn Beck interviewed a man named Gregory Rigano, Stanford Advisor to SPARK, and Project Lead for Clinical Trials for COVID-19 prevention, who was reporting that two drugs—I think working together, but both are also being studied separately—anyway, these drugs have been shown to cure the disease 100% of the time in six days. He referred to an immunologist from France, so I think that’s where this combination has been tried. He’s was asking for healthcare professionals to join in the open-data clinical trial

He hoped that within a couple of months, the treatment could be widespread. He still calls for social distancing, so we don’t overwhelm the available resources. But these drugs may give us time for other remedies and possibly vaccines to be developed in a year or two—without the world economy having to shut down until then.

The drugs he mentioned are generics that have been around for several decades. One is hydroxychloroquine, which was developed shortly after WWII for treating malaria, and has also been used to treat rheumatoid arthritis. The other is azithromycin, the antibiotic often referred to as Zithromax, or in its package called a Z-pak. The FDA has already approved these drugs; they just have to approve them for this off-label use.

Later today President Trump held a press conference announcing the FDA’s allowing for hydroxychloroquine and a couple of other drugs (I didn’t catch all the names, but azithromycin wasn’t among them, so there are additional ones) to be used for the off-label purpose of treating COVID-19. This is a very hopeful development. 

The FDA Commissioner, speaking alongside the President, said that, when he was a cancer doctor and researcher, he knew how important it was to offer a patient hope. Not false hope, but real hope. He believes the announcement today, along with other efforts to combat this illness, offers real hope. I think he’s right. I’m much more hopeful today than I was even yesterday.

We live in interesting times. My Utah friends and family lived through an earthquake, and its aftershocks, yesterday morning. One meme started referring to all that’s been going on as “apocalypse bingo,” and the card is filling up.

Our literary friend Gandalf had this conversation with Frodo over such times:

“I wish it need not have happened in my time,” said Frodo.
“So do I,” said Gandalf, “and so do all who live to see such times. But that is not for them to decide. All we have to decide is what to do with the time that is given us.”        —J.R.R. Tolkien, The Fellowship of the Ring

image found here

Monday, March 16, 2020

From Home


Schools here are shut down. At first it was a week extension of spring break. Then it was another two weeks or so. Then there was this headline:

“Large numbers” of Texas kids could miss rest of school year, education commissioner warns.
This is part of the attempt to slow the spread of COVID-19 to avoid overwhelming healthcare resources. Our churches are also closed. Political conventions (probably any other convention as well) are being postponed. What had been a request to avoid gatherings over 100 went down to 50, and earlier today the President and team announced we should avoid gatherings over 10.

Here at the Spherical Model household, we were already working at home. But that didn’t mean staying home all the time. So, apparently to enforce his need to abide by the directive, Mr. Spherical Model went and broke his ankle over the weekend. Ouch! Looks, as of today, that no surgery will be needed, so it will just be a temporary adjustment. Been there, done that. Healing happens—eventually. So, anyway, we’re staying home.

But, about those schools. What do families do when the government fails to educate their children as promised?

Homeschool.

That's the realization that hit me when someone offered this helpful schedule:
Found on Facebook; don't know original source


I thought, "That looks like a homeschool schedule." Not exactly ours. I knew homeschoolers who scheduled out the entire day in 15-minute increments. Ours was much less structured, but there was always an underlying schedule or expectation. It turns out there isn’t a right or wrong way: there is just your way, which will look different from everybody else’s way.

By the way, there was a followup to that graphic, with some humorous reality:




But what does it take for education to happen? It doesn't require anything that looks like a classroom reproduced in a home. Instead, it requires acting intentionally. Following through. And enjoying it together. Improved relationship means learning happens better. There’s evidence that learning can actually be undone in a negative environment—like a public middle school or high school where a child faces bullying or lack of social acceptance.

Here’s the thing: the government has been failing to adequately educate our children for quite a long time. This pandemic is just getting everybody’s attention.

I’m not the only one thinking along these lines as we hunker down in our virus-free homes. Andrew Klavan said this in his podcast today:


Maybe we can use this moment to think about what an even better future might look like….
Now that children are staying home from school and workers are telecommuting, maybe this is a moment to wonder: do we really need to send our kids to government facilities where teachers’ unions keep dangerous incompetence in place, spouting leftist gender horse manure? Couldn’t more moms work from home so that kids could be schooled in the values of their families? It’s worth wondering, anyway, if our new technology could bring back some of the home industries.
Maybe this is a moment when we solve the college debt problem by not sending kids to crappy colleges where they learn to hate their native land by reading communist histories by guys like Howard Zinn. Maybe this is the moment when places like Hillsdale can teach the truth in beauty online, and that’ll count as a college education.


Many more people could homeschool than thought they could. Here’s an opportunity to find out whether you can. And the world is adjusting to help you out.

I’m about to share a bunch of memes that we homeschoolers are getting a kick out of. Then I’ll share with you some of the links that have popped up just this week to help you out. The first has been around a while; I don't know the origin. The others were passed along by a homeschool friend; they were listed as posted by Leah Hovey (whom I don't know; she may have created them or just passed them along). 













OK, here are the links for you online learning enjoyment:


Scholastic releases free daily courses for kids stuck home amid coronavirus school closures






Cincinnati Zoo & Botanical Garden Home Safari Facebook Live each weekday at 3pm EDT



Stuck at Home? These 12 Famous Museums Offer Virtual Tours You Can Take on Your Couch


Paris Museums Put 100,000 Images Online for Unrestricted Public Use

  
75+ Entertaining and Educational Activities for When You’re Stuck Indoors

  
LUNCH DOODLES with Mo Willems!
Kennedy Center Education Artist-in-Residence at Home




Not long ago, I posted about some of the various online resources for free or nearly free.

So, think about this: if it’s possible to do this for free, from home, do we need public schools? Is their main purpose just to house our students as a daycare facility? Or worse, to indoctrinate our kids with things we’d never want them to be taught if it were up to us?

Because it is up to us.

So, let this be your experiment. Take this sudden break from how things are always done. Use it. Choose to enjoy this crazy time with the family. Read aloud together. Talk about things that interest you, and what interests them. Use these great online resources. Do some online exploring every day. Do some play-learning together every day. And see if their appetite for learning goes up. See if yours does.

Maybe you were meant to be your kids’ main teacher all along.

Thursday, March 12, 2020

From the Other Quote File


The last post was long and arduous. So I wanted something of a respite today. Occasionally on such days I do a quote file post. I have a very large quote file related to the interrelationships of the political, economic, and social spheres. Enough for a book.

But I also have another quote file. More personal. Related to things of interest to me, rather than specifically related to the Spherical Model. I haven’t shared these before. But today’s a good day for a sampling. This quote file tends toward the religious, but also just things I want to save because they’re well said. I hope you can take a moment away from the news of the day and enjoy these, for respite.
_________________________


Let us weigh the gain and the loss in wagering that God is. Let us estimate these two chances. If you gain, you gain all; if you lose, you lose nothing. Wager, then, without hesitation that He is.—Blaise Pascal



Albert Einstein
(image from Getty Images)

We should take care not to make the intellect our God; it has, of course, powerful muscles, but no personality.—Albert Einstein



Keep studying the scriptures, keep doing the things that build your faith in Jesus Christ and then notice the wise choices you are naturally drawn to make.—Russell M. Nelson



When obstacles arise, you change your direction to reach your goal; you do not change your decision to get there.—Zig Ziglar



You can’t go back and change the beginning, but you can start where you are and change the ending.—C. S. Lewis



It’s a lot easier to change your beliefs about the world than it is to change reality itself.—Rob Scott



It’s a problem when words like Turnt, Fleek or Bae are more understandable than actual words like Ethics, Morals, Respect and Integrity.—Will Smith, “House of Leaders”



If you think you’ve blown God’s plan for your life, rest in this:
You, my beautiful friend, are not that powerful.—Lisa Bever



You will continue to suffer if you have an emotional reaction to everything that is said to you. True power is sitting back and observing things with logic. True power is restraint. If words control you that means everyone else can control you. Breathe and allow things to pass.—Warren Buffett



Scared is what you're feeling. Brave is what you're doing. Emma Donoghue



Some believe it is only great power that can hold evil in check, but that is not what I have found. I found it is the small everyday deeds of ordinary folk that keep the darkness at bay…small acts of kindness and love.
—Gandalf (Lord of the Rings, J. R. R. Tolkien)

Gandalf, from Lord of the Rings movie
image found here


There is more individuality in those who are more holy. Sin, on the other hand, brings sameness; it shrinks us to addictive appetites.—Neal A. Maxwell



God assumed from the beginning that the wise of the world would view Christians as fools…. And He has not been disappointed…. If I have brought any message today, it is this: Have the courage to have your wisdom regarded as stupidity. Be fools for Christ. And have the courage to suffer the contempt of the sophisticated world.—Justice Antonin Scalia



The biggest mistake in communication is assuming that it has taken place.
—Jon Erwin



Do not overpack the luggage you plan to take with you when you leave this world, for we simply cannot get most mortal things by celestial customs; only the eternal things are portable.—Neal A. Maxwell



Endurance is patience concentrated.—Thomas Carlisle



I will not let anyone walk through my mind with their dirty feet.
—Mahatma Ghandi



You do not have to believe everything you think.
(seen on Mindvalley Facebook page July 21, 2019, original reference unknown)



Being a Christian is less about cautiously avoiding sin than it is about courageously and relentlessly doing God’s will.—Dietrich Bonhoeffer

Dietrich Bonhoeffer
image from Brittanica


 The person who’s in love with their vision of community will destroy community. But the person who loves the people around them will create community everywhere they go.—Dietrich Bonhoeffer

Monday, March 9, 2020

What Kind of Family Is the Basic Unit of Civilization?


Yesterday there was an exchange (fairly brief and respectful) on Facebook I promised to respond to, after having given myself time to think and be somewhat thorough. And this is among people I think will be respectful, so it is worth responding.

This is going to be long. I probably ought to have split it into two or three posts. Nevertheless, here it is.

The post I’m quoting below is in response to a notice about a pro-family rally off campus near BYU-Idaho. It’s honoring “The Family: A Proclamation to the World,” which declares our Church’s basic beliefs related to family. You can read that proclamation here. This came out in 1995, when such beliefs were so widely held, it seemed like they should go without saying, but when you read the proclamation today you can see the prophetic wisdom in declaring these beliefs ahead of the cultural shift.



So here’s the central part of BG’s Facebook post:

When you think of the family being defended here, what kind of family do you imagine? Would I be safe to assume you imagine the nuclear family relationship?
I ask because there is so much emphasis on the nuclear family as though it's what holds civilization up. But honestly, it's the nuclear family TOGETHER with all the other types of family that really hold civilization up. Single parent family, friends, extended family, work family, adopted family, national family, international family etc. The point is, the family is so much more than an isolated nuclear family setup.
I am forever grateful for everyone outside of my nuclear family that has kept us going when times have been tough.
Two individuals of the same sex that are together does not threaten any type of family. If anything it strengthens all types of families because there is more trust and acceptance with each other to help support one another. We become a bigger, stronger family.
The real threat to families in my opinion is our inability to listen and understand other family that might be different than we're used to.
And now my long response.

Family is the basic unit of civilization. To understand that, we need to know what family is and what civilization is.

Let’s start with defining civilization, because then we can see whether whatever family we’re looking at has what is necessary for civilization.


Definition of Civilization

I’m using definitions I’ve written before, on the Spherical Model website:

I will be using the terms Civilized and Savage somewhat more specifically than the usual dictionary definitions. Civilized will be more than a society where people write records, have a certain amount of technology, and live together in cities. I think it is clearly possible for all of those things to exist in societies that have sunk into savagery. Nazi Germany is the most obvious example from recent history. And it is also possible, though not really seen in today’s world, for innocent but unrefined people to live in harmonious civilization. Many families that settled the American West exemplify civilization at a micro level….
In the northern circle of the Spherical Model that is the goal—Civilization—families typically remain intact, and children are raised in loving homes, with caring parents who guide their education and training, dedicating somewhere between 18 and 25 years for that child to reach adulthood, and who then remain interested in their children’s success for the rest of their lives.
Civilized people live peaceably among their neighbors, helping rather than taking advantage of one another, abiding by laws enacted to protect property and safety—with honesty and honor. Civilized people live in peace with other civilized people; countries and cultures coexist in appreciation, without fear.
There is a thriving free-enterprise economy. Poverty is meaningless; even though there will always be a lowest earning 10% defined as poor, in a civilized society these lowest earners have comfortable shelter and adequate food and clothing—and there’s the possibility of rising, or at least for future generations to rise.
Creativity abounds; enlightening arts and literature exceed expectations. Architecture and infrastructure improve; innovation and invention are the rule.
People feel free to choose their work, their home, their family practices, their friendships and associations. And they generally self-restrain before they infringe on the rights and freedoms of others. Where there are questions about those limits, laws are in place to help clarify boundaries of civilized behavior. When someone willingly infringes on the rights or safety of another, the law functions to protect that victim as well as society from further uncivilized behavior from the offender.
Much of this describes the societal goods you get from civilization. But, in short, civilized people have a critical mass of people who honor God, life, family, truth, and property ownership.


Definition of Family

Before I go any further, let me say something very direct: While there is a necessary preferred family form, that does not mean that other family forms have no value and make no contribution. I’ll go into that in more detail later.

Here’s what families do for civilization, also from the Spherical Model website:

Families have the responsibility to safeguard women and children for the greatest benefit of both current and future generations. Families provide food, shelter, clothing, education, spiritual guidance, and training in how to live a civilized life in a civilized society. Elderly are honored for their wisdom. Youth are honored for their potential. Women are honored for giving and nurturing life, among their other abilities. Men are honored for providing and protecting, among their other abilities. Families are the main economic force, as well as the very means whereby civilization can perpetuate. Civilized societies therefore protect The Family as sacred.
But family can mean so many things, and can look very different from one another. What do we mean? We mean a married mother and father raising their own children. That is the ideal. That is what there needs to be a critical mass of—which is probably quantifiable, but I would estimate well north of 50%.

Stronger extended families are a great support to the nuclear family. The more we have of that in a society, the better. But,

It is possible to have a civilization one family in size.
This is true—if that family is a married father and mother caring for their own children.

Here is our traditional family,
being a basic unit of civilization,
during our growth years, 1996.
It is not true if that family is missing an essential ingredient—namely, a mother or a father. A well-functioning traditional family is a civilization, in and of itself. And it contributes to an ever larger civilization. Any other family form might contribute to civilization, not because of what it is, but in spite of what it lacks.


Historically, this has been known by every civilization for millennia, and we shouldn’t assume people didn’t know certain things by observation and experience over long periods of time simply because a social science database hadn’t been invented. But, it turns out, the more social science data we gather, the more we see that mothers and fathers—both—are essential ingredients for raising the subsequent civilized generation.


Other Family Forms

While we know what is the best family form, that does not preclude success by other family forms.

Married mother and father of adopted children do very nearly as well as parents of biological children. Challenges faced by adopted children are often mitigated by the knowledge that a devoted mother and father love them.

Stepfamilies can bring about mixed results. The most likely to succeed (but certainly not the only ones) are those who can come together entirely, without having to share with absent other fathers or mothers. For example, if a parent has died and the remaining parent eventually remarries, full integration of the new parent can create outcomes very similar to original biological parents. But otherwise stepparents can put children at higher risk of abuse than even single parenting.[i]

Single parents generally have a harder time. But among these, those with a parent who has died fare better[ii] than those who are single because of divorce or never marrying. The reason is that the parent who has died can be talked about as a positive force—a person with principles that would have been taught, a person with love for the surviving parent and the children. The deceased parent’s legacy is better than simple absence of parent from the home.

Single parents have a tough row to hoe. Children need influence from both a male and a female parent; that is critical. That does not mean that no single parent can succeed; it means that the task is likely to be harder. The parent needs to find outside resources to help—maybe grandparents, maybe aunts or uncles or other extended family, maybe coaches or youth program leaders. But the parent will need to find that additional input. And the parent will have to do it while being the sole provider for the family, however much extra time that takes, and then do the daily boots-on-the-ground parenting that would have been divided among two adults, giving them each occasional rest and recharge time.

Single parents have a more likely chance of success—if they are surrounded by fully functional two-parent nuclear families. Because those neighboring basic units of civilization may have social capital to spare.

It takes social capital to make up for the deficits of a family without both mother and father. The more families that can’t bring that to the table, the heavier the toll on civilization.

You can see the outcomes in social science data. One collection I use is Why Marriage Matters: Twenty-One Conclusions from the Social Sciences. Mine is a 2005 version, from the Institute for American Values. I have picked a few, and mostly I have paraphrased. The footnotes are theirs:


·         Cohabiting parents—even biological parents—report relationships of lower quality than do married couples: more conflict, more violence, and lower levels of satisfaction and commitment, resulting in children less likely to know how to live in a committed marriage for the next generation.[iii]
·         Divorce, as well as unmarried childrearing, increases poverty for both children and mothers.[iv]
·         Married parents build more wealth than either singles or cohabiting couples, thus benefiting their children.[v]
·         Parental divorce is a major contributor to children’s school failure[vi] and reduces the likelihood that children will graduate from college and achieve high-status jobs.[vii]
·         Children living with their married parents tend to have better health than children in other family forms.[viii] Divorce has been shown to lower children’s life expectancy by four years.[ix]
·         Marriage leads to reduced alcohol and substance abuse for both teens and adults.[x]
·         Marriage leads to better health and longer lives for both women and men, compared to singles controlled for other variables.[xi]
·         Children of divorced parents have higher rates of psychological problems[xii] and significantly higher rates of suicide.[xiii] Meanwhile married mothers have lower rates of depression than do single or cohabiting mothers.[xiv]
·         Boys raised in single-parent families are more likely to engage in delinquent and criminal behavior. Even after controlling for factors such as race, mother’s education, neighborhood quality, and cognitive ability, boys raised in single-parent homes are about twice as likely (and boys raised in stepfamilies are three times as likely) to have committed a crime that leads to incarceration by the time they reach their early thirties.[xv]
·         Marriage appears to reduce the risk that adults will be either perpetrators or victims of crime.[xvi]
·         Married women appear to have a lower risk of experiencing domestic violence than do cohabiting or dating women.[xvii] Cohabitors engage in more violence than do spouses.”[xviii]
·         Children living with single mothers, stepfathers, or mother’s boyfriends are more likely to become victims of child abuse.[xix]

The conclusion of Why Marriage Matters is this:

Marriage is more than a private emotional relationship. It is also a social good. Not every person can or should marry. And not every child raised outside of marriage is damaged as a result. But communities where good-enough marriages are common have better outcomes for children, women, and men than do communities suffering from high rates of divorce, unmarried childbearing, and high-conflict or violent marriages.

What I and the social scientists are saying is, marriage—man and woman “good enough” marriage—is essential for civilization. The odds are better for children as well as the adults when we start with the traditional nuclear family.

UFI logo
Let’s add some data from “The Fatherhood Study Fact Sheet” from United Families International:

·         A study of incarcerated women showed 41% grew up with a mother as sole provider.[xx]
·         Youths in father-absent households had significantly higher odds of incarceration than those in mother-father families. Youths who never had a father in the household experienced the highest odds.[xxi]
·         A 2002 DOJ survey of 7,000 inmates showed that 39% of jail inmates had lived in mother-only households. Approximately 46% of jail inmates in 2002 had a previously incarcerated family member; 20% experienced a father in prison or jail.[xxii]
·         Among adolescents charged with murder, 72% grew-up without their fathers.[xxiii] 
·         High-crime neighborhoods are characterized by high concentrations of families abandoned by fathers.[xxiv]
·         Fatherlessness is a primary generator of violence among young men.[xxv] 
·         Of children with highly involved fathers in two-parent families, 50% reported getting mostly A’s through 12th grade, compared to 35.2% of children of nonresident father families.[xxvi]
·         What fathers provide includes protecting daughters from sexual overtures of other men, and providing models for the kinds of nonsexual relationships with men that daughters need to develop if they are to avoid the ploys of sexual abusers.  Daughters who grow up without fathers do not enjoy such protections from sexual abuse perpetrators.[xxvii]  
·         Teens without fathers were twice as likely to be involved in early sexual activity and seven times more likely to get pregnant as an adolescent.[xxviii]

Same-Sex Parents

We haven’t yet touched on same-sex parenting. The data is only beginning to appear, since this is a relatively new family form. Early reports were that there were relatively few differences. However, a closer look showed that comparisons were between homosexual parents and heterosexual parents, including all single parents—not between homosexual parents and married biological parents. Even so, the data was showing that gender identity and confusion, and other sexual related markers of adolescent health, were inferior in same-sex parented families.[xxix]

There are a couple of basic facts we can’t get around. 1. Children need the influence of a father and a mother; same-sex families do not provide that. Period. Full stop.

And 2. Same-sex parents do not engage in reproductive behavior. It is not as if they are equivalent to a heterosexual couple experiencing infertility. They are not typically infertile—with someone of the opposite sex. The coupling is infertile because together they biologically cannot engage in reproductive activity. Under some circumstances (previous heterosexual marriage, invitro fertilization) one of the parents might be biologically related to a child, but in no circumstances can both be related.

We know from adoption in married heterosexual couples that biology isn’t an absolute necessity. But to purposely place a nonbiological child into a family that cannot provide both a mother and a father is to deprive that child of what is necessary for healthy growth.

Some argue that having two loving parents must be better. But better than what? Better than a single mother, perhaps. There are possibly two incomes, and two parents to share the parenting work. But there are not both male and female role models.

Unfortunately, more recent data is coming out with more troubling outcomes. Much of this comes from adult children raised by homosexual parents, which started coming out around 2015, in testimony before the Supreme Court in the Obergefell decision. For example, Dawn Stefanowicz testified graphically of her childhood with a homosexual father who later died of AIDS.

It is quite difficult to discuss the implications of growing up in a gay household until later in adulthood when we have developed a measure of personal identity and independence apart from our GLBT parent, partners and the subcultures. We are often forced to approve and tolerate all forms of expressed sexuality, including various sexual and gender identity preferences.
And this from Robert Oscar Lopez, the son of a lesbian woman, who told how homosexual activists had harassed his employers and spread lies about him on the internet following his coming forward about his childhood experiences:

Children raised by same-sex couples face a gauntlet if they break the silence about the “no disadvantages” consensus…. In such a climate, I must conclude that placing children in same-sex couples’ homes is dangerous, because they have no space or latitude to express negative feelings about losing a mom or dad, and in fact they have much to fear if they do.
There’s a fairly recent memoir written by the daughter of fantasy fiction writer Marion Zimmer Bradley, who was a lesbian, and the author’s father was gay—and both were pedophiles. Moira Greyland’s account, The Last Closet, The Dark Side of Avalon, is both frightening and horrifying, also well documented, since it was her testimony that convicted her father. But it isn’t just her personal experience with these particular parents that is at issue. It is this more general conclusion:
Moira Greyland, image from moiragreyland.net
found here


Every single child of gay parents with whom I spoke had certain things in common. Those with only same-sex parents in the home ached for their missing parent and longed for a real father, and nearly all of us had been sexualized far too young.
That brings us to the difficult issue related to same-sex parenting. We tend to look at others with the assumption that they are like us. I’ve coined the word “heteromorphism” to mean looking at same-sex relationships and attributing to them what we see in our own heterosexual relationships, things like permanence and fidelity. It’s hard to look at what we see on the surface and assume differently. We don’t want to assume differently. And most of us don’t know any of these couples—particularly long-term same-sex couples—well enough to feel comfortable asking some pertinent questions, such as, “What does fidelity in your marriage mean to you? Is it a complete physical/sexual fidelity, or more of an emotional fidelity?”[xxx]

Because the data shows—and has shown for already a couple of decades—that committed “married” same-sex couples have on average 8 sexual partners a year.[xxxi] Lesbians are slightly less promiscuous but still much more than heterosexual women.[xxxii] Single lesbians, by the way, tend to have at least one male sexual partner per year, in addition to their homosexual partner(s).[xxxiii] Oddly, homosexual teens, whether bisexual or not, are four times more likely to have gotten pregnant or gotten someone pregnant than an equivalent aged heterosexual teen.[xxxiv]

Committed heterosexual couples—particularly religious couples—tend to go through life with complete fidelity. Overall, heterosexual marriages have 75-80% of husbands and 88-90% of wives remain faithful throughout the marriage.[xxxv]

A typical heterosexual non-religious male averages 14 sexual partners in a lifetime, a female averages 7.[xxxvi] A typical homosexual is likely to have hundreds, some even thousands.[xxxvii] Their sex isn’t about love and commitment; it is about trying (apparently unsuccessfully) to satisfy personal lust. It appears much more like sexual addiction than heterosexual family loyalty and fidelity.

Fidelity translates as security. Infidelity translates as upheaval. For a child being raised in a home of upheaval, that is significant.


Summary

The data I’m providing today is not unknown. Most of it I’ve had in my possession for a couple of decades, with more coming in over time simply because I’m attuned to it. But it is practically forbidden to mention in mainstream media. Just citing data is enough to get a person cancelled in today’s culture.

If it were true that the family forms were equivalent, then it would be safe to reveal the basic data about them and find ways to improve them all.

Again, none of this is to say that any particular family, regardless of its form, is destined for success or doomed to failure. Those who currently find themselves in an other-than-ideal family form should still keep earnestly striving to love and give all that they can muster for the sake of their family members. That will always be better than succumbing to the opposite of civilization, which is savagery.

But they really ought to increase their odds of success by surrounding themselves with a critical mass of most-likely-to-succeed traditional families. Because that means they’re surrounding themselves with thriving civilization, and they’re going to need that.


[i] Martin Daly and Margo Wilson, 1996. “Evolutionary Psychology and Marital Conflict: The Relevance of Stepchildren,” in Sex, Power, Conflict: Evolutionary and Feminist Perspectives, eds. David M. Buss and Neil M. Malamuth (Oxford: Oxford University Press): 9-28.
[ii] Timothy J. Biblarz and Greg Gottainer, 2000. “Family Structure and Children’s Success: A Comparison of Widowed and Divorced Single-Mother Families,” Journal of Marriage and the Family 62(2) (May): 533.
[iii] William H. Jeynes, 2000. “The Effects of Several of the Most Common Family Structures on the Academic Achievement of Eighth Graders,” Marriage and Family Review 30(1/2): 73-97; Donna Ruane Morrison and Amy Ritualo, 2000. “Routes to Children’s Economic Recovery After Divorce: Are Cohabitation and Remarriage Equivalent?” American Sociological Review 65 (August): 560-580; Lingxin Hao, 1996. “Family Structure, Private Transfers, and the Economic Well-Being of Families with Children,” Social Forces 75: 269-292; Wendy D. Manning and Daniel T. Lichter, 1996. “Parental Cohabitation and Children’s Economic Well-Being,” Journal of Marriage and the Family 58: 998-1010.
[iv] See, for example, Pamela J. Smock, et al., 1999. “The Effect of Marriage and Divorce on Women’s Economic Well-Being,” American Sociological Review 64: 794-812; Ross Finie, 1993. “Women, Men and the Economic Consequences of Divorce: Evidence from Canadian Longitudinal Data,” Canadian Review of Sociology and Anthropology 30(2): 205ff. Teresa A. Mauldin, 1990. “Women Who Remain Above the Poverty Level in Divorce: Implications for Family Policy,” Family Relations 39(2): 141ff. See also Sara McLanahan, 2000. “Family, State, and Child Well-Being,” Annual Review of Sociology 26(1): 703ff; I. Sawhill, 1999. “Families at Risk,” in H. H. Aaron and R.D. Reischauer (eds.) Setting National Priorities (Washington, D.C.: Brookings): 97-135.
[v] Lingxin Hao, 1996. “Family Structure, Private Transfers, and the Economic WellBeing of Families with Children,” Social Forces 75: 269-292; Kermit Daniel, 1995. “The Marriage Premium,” in Mariano Tommasi and Kathryn Ierullli (eds.) The New Economics of Human Behavior (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press): 113-25. See also Rebecca M. Blank, 1997. It Takes a Nation: A New Agenda for Fighting Poverty (New York: Russell Sage Foundation).
[vi] Timothy J. Biblarz and Greg Gottainer, 2000. “Family Structure and Children’s Success: A Comparison of Widowed and Divorced Single-Mother Families,” Journal of Marriage and the Family 62(2) (May): 533.
[vii] Zeng-Yin Cheng and Howard B. Kaplan, 1999. “Explaining the Impact of Family Structure During Adolescence on Adult Educational Attainment,” Applied Behavioral Science Review 7(1): 23ff; Jan O. Johnsson and Michael Gahler, 1997. “Family Dissolution, Family Reconstitution, and Children’s Educational Careers: Recent Evidence From Sweden,” Demography 34(2): 277-293; Dean Lillard and Jennifer Gerner, 1996. “Getting to the Ivy League,” Journal of Higher Education 70(6): 706ff.
[viii] Ronald Angel and Jacqueline Worobey, 1988. “Single Motherhood and Children’s Health,” Journal of Health and Social Behavior 29: 38-52.
[ix] J. E. Schwartz et al., 1995. “Childhood Sociodemographic and Psychosocial Factors as Predictors of Mortality Across the Life-Span,” American Journal of Public Health 85: 1237-1245.
[x] Jerald G. Bachman, et al., 1997. Smoking, Drinking and Drug Use in Young Adulthood (Mahwah, NJ: Lawrence Erlbaum Associates); Carol Miller-Tutzauer et al., 1991. “Marriage and Alcohol Use: A Longitudinal Study of Maturing Out,” Journal of Studies on Alcohol 52: 434-440.
[xi] Lee A. Lillard and Linda J. Waite, 1995. “’Til Death Do Us Part: Marital Disruption and Mortality,” American Journal of Sociology 100: 1131-56; Catherine E. Ross et al., 1990. “The Impact of the Family on Health: Decade in Review,” Journal of Marriage and the Family 52: 1059-1078.
[xii] E. Mavis Hetherington and John Kelly, 2002. For Better or For Worse: Divorce Reconsidered (New York: W.W. Norton & Co.); Paul R. Amato, 2001. “Children of Divorce in the 1990s: An Update of the Amato and Keith (1991) Meta-Analysis,” Journal of Family Psychology 15(3): 355-370; Judith S. Wallerstein et al., 2000. The Unexpected Legacy of Divorce: A 25 Year Landmark Study (New York: Hyperion); Paul R. Amato, 2000. “The Consequences of Divorce for Adults and Children,” Journal of Marriage and the Family 62(4): 1269ff. Ronald L. Simons, et al., 1999. “Explaining the Higher Incidence of Adjustment Problems Among Children of Divorce Compared with Those in Two-Parent Families,” Journal of Marriage and the Family 61(4) (November): 1020ff.; Judith Wallerstein and Sandra Blakeslee, 1989. Second Chances: Men, Women and Children a Decade After Divorce (New York: Ticknor and Fields).
[xiii] Gregory R. Johnson et al., 2000. “Suicide Among Adolescents and Young Adults: A Cross-National Comparison of 34 Countries,” Suicide and Life-Threatening Behavior 30(1): 74-82; David Lester, 1994. “Domestic Integration and Suicide in 21 Nations, 19501985,” International Journal of Comparative Sociology XXXV (1-2): 131-137.
[xiv] Susan L. Brown, 2000. “The Effect of Union Type on Psychological Well-Being: Depression Among Cohabitors versus Marrieds,” Journal of Health and Social Behavior 41 (September): 241-255.
[xv] Cynthia Harper and Sara McLanahan, 1998. “Father Absence and Youth Incarceration.” (paper presented at the annual meeting of the American Sociological Association) (San Francisco) (August).
[xvi] Ronet Bachman, 1994. “Violence Against Women,” A National Crime Victimization Survey Report NCK-145325 (Washington D.C.: U.S. Department of Justice, Office of Justice Programs, Bureau of Justice Statistics) (January): See Table 2 and 3.
[xvii] Margo I. Wilson and Martin Daly, 1992. “Who Kills Whom in Spouse Killings? On the Exceptional Sex Ratio of Spousal Homicides in the United States,” Criminology 30(2): 189-215; J.E. Straus and M.A. Stets, 1989. “The Marriage License as Hitting License: A Comparison of Assaults in Dating, Cohabiting and Married Couples,” Journal of Family Violence 4(2): 161-180.
[xviii] Nicky Ali Jackson, 1996. “Observational Experiences of Intrapersonal Conflict and Teenage Victimization: A Comparative Study among Spouses and Cohabitors,” Journal of Family Violence 11: 191-203.
[xix] C.D. Siegel et al., 1996. “Mortality from Intentional and Unintentional Injury Among Infants of Young Mothers in Colorado, 1982 to 1992,” Archives of Pediatric and Adolescent Medicine, 150(10) (October): 1077-1083.
[xx] Thomas E. Hanlon et al., “Incarcerated Drug-Abusing Mothers:  Their Characteristics and Vulnerability,” The American Journal of Drug and Alcohol Abuse 1 (2005):  59-77. 
[xxi] Cynthia Harper, and Sara S. McLanahan, “Father Absence and Youth Incarceration,” Journal of Research on Adolescence 14 (September 2004): 369-397.
[xxii] Doris J.James, “Profile of Jail Inmates, 2002,”  (NCJ 201932). Bureau of Justice Statistics Special Report, Department of Justice, Office of Justice Programs, July 2004.
[xxiii] Dewey Cornell “Characteristics of Adolescents Charged with Homicide” Behavior Sciences and the Law 5 (1987): 11-23.
[xxiv] The Real Root Causes of Violent Crime: The Breakdown of Marriage, Family, and Community by Patrick F. Fagan Backgrounder #1026 March 17, 1995.
[xxv] David Blankenhorn, Fatherless America (New York:  BasicBooks, 1995): 31.
[xxvi] National Center for Education Statistics. The Condition of Education. NCES 1999022. Washington, DC: U.S. Dept. of Education, 1999: 76.
[xxvii] David Popenoe, Life Without Father:  Compelling New Evidence that Fatherhood and Marriage are Indispensable for the Good of Children and Society, (Harvard University Press:  Cambridge Massachusetts, 1996): 67-68. 
[xxviii] Bruce J. Ellis, John E. Bates, Kenneth A. Dodge, David M. Ferguson, L. John Horwood, Gregory S. Pettit, and Lianne Woodward. “Does Father Absence Place Daughters at Special Risk for Early Sexual Activity and Teenage Pregnancy,” Child Development 74 (May/June 2003): 801-821.
[xxix] Loren Marks, “Same-sex parenting and children’s outcomes: A closer examination of the American psychological association’s brief on lesbian and gay parenting,” Social Science Research, Volume 4, Issue 4, July 2012, pp. 735-751. See also Ana Samuel, “The Kids Aren’t All Right: New Family Structures and the ‘No Differences’ Claim,” The Witherspoon Institute, June 14, 2012, http://www.thepublicdiscourse.com/2012/06/5640/#_edn1 . [See the footnotes.]
[xxx] Consider, for example, the research of McWhirter and Mattison. They interviewed 156 male couples and concluded that in these relationships "fidelity is not defined in terms of sexual behavior, but rather by their emotional commitment to one another" (The Male Couple; David P. McWhirter, M.D., and Andrew M. Mattison, M.S.W., Ph.D.; Prentice-Hall, 1984; p 252, 3).  The researchers—a gay couple themselves—reported that two-thirds of the couples began their relationship with the expectation of sexual exclusivity, but that the partners became more permissive with time. They found that ALL the couples who had been together at least 5 years had incorporated some provision for outside sexual activity in their relationships. In fact, the authors concluded that "the single most important factor that keeps couples together past the ten-year mark is the lack of possessiveness they feel. Many couples learn very early in their relationship that ownership of each other sexually can become the greatest internal threat to their staying together."  See also After the Ball; Marshall Kirk and Hunter Madsen; Doubleday, 1989. The book acknowledges that "the cheating ratio of 'married' gay males, given enough time, approaches 100%.... Many gay lovers, bowing to the inevitable, agree to an 'open relationship,' for which there are as many sets of ground rules as there are couples" (p 330). 
[xxxi] Xiridou, Maria, et al, “The Contribution of Steady and Casual Partnerships to the Incidence of HIV infection among Homosexual Men in Amsterdam,” 1029-1038 AIDS, 17 (7) May 2, 2003. “Those with a steady partner and those without reported having an average of 8 and 22 casual partners per year, respectively.”
[xxxii] Fethers, Katherine, et al., “Sexually Transmitted Infections and Risk Behaviors in Women Who Have Sex with Women,” Sexually Transmitted Infections 76 (2000): 348.
[xxxiii] Zipter, Yvonne, “The Disposable Lesbian Relationship,” Windy City Times, (December 15, 1986), p. 18, and see Zipter, a lesbian, in an article in Chicago’s gay journal for the quote.
[xxxiv] Allie Shah, “Gay Teens Have Higher Pregnancy Rates than Their Straight Peers,” Minneapolis Star Tribune, August 6, 2015: http://www.startribune.com/gay-teens-have-higher-pregnancy-rates-than-their-straight-peers/320842991/
[xxxv] Robert T. Michael et al., Sex in America: A Definitive Survey (Boston: Little, Brown & Company, 1994). See also Michael W. Widerman, "Extramarital Sex: Prevalence and Correlated in a National Survey," Journal of Sex Research 34 (1997): 2.
[xxxvi] Derek Beres, “Men claim they have more sexual partners than women. But is it true?” Big Think, July 30, 2018, https://bigthink.com/21st-century-spirituality/men-claim-they-have-more-sex-partners-than-women-but-is-it-true
[xxxvii] G. Rotell, Sexual Ecology: AIDS and the Destiny of Gay Men (New York, Dutton, 1997).