On Monday a draft opinion was leaked from the Supreme Court. Leaks from the Supreme Court are extremely rare, and in the past have been limited to someone saying what a final ruling outcome was going to be. There has never been a leak of a brief—in the entire history of the Court.
image of the Supreme Court leaked draft opinion screenshot from Glenn Beck's Wednesday Special |
The
Betrayal of Trust
Justice Roberts verified on Tuesday that the leaked draft
was authentic. He pointed out that it was still an early draft—it is from early
February—and is part of how the Court works through their opinions; it
represents neither the final opinion of any justice nor the final ruling. He
also calls the leak a betrayal. There is speculation on what that means to the
perpetrator when caught, but is likely to include firing at minimum, probably
losing their law license for life, and possibly criminal charges for
mishandling private court documents.
Law vlogger Robert Gouveia shared a couple
of tweets that indicate the seriousness of this betrayal of trust. One is from
SCOUTUSblog. It says,
It’s impossible to overstate the earthquake this will cause inside the Court, in terms of the destruction of trust among the Justices and staff. This leak is the gravest, most unforgivable sin.
Robert Gouveia shares a SCOTUSblog tweet screenshot from here |
The other tweet Gouveia shares is from @OrinKerr, passed on
to him from @isamuel, who had clerked for Justice Scalia, who tells this story (which
I found linked to here) of welcome day for new clerks:
But nothing will ever beat Justice Scalia on probably the
first day that all four law clerks had started. He summoned us all in and said,
“Welcome aboard. I’m really happy to have you. Here’s how I run my chambers. It’s
an open door—if you need to talk to me about something, just come and talk to
me.” And he said, almost with a hint of regret that he had to do this—obviously
he was not that regretful, because he did do it—he said, “I want to just
emphasize something, and I only want to say it once. If I ever discover that
you have betrayed the confidences of what goes on in these chambers, I will do
everything in my power to ruin your career.” Then he just let that hang there
for a second, and moved on to other topics. It wasn’t said in a mean way, but
it also wasn’t said in a way that admitted the slightest misunderstanding. He
certainly did not sound like he was even a little bit kidding. Again, at the
time, I’m a twentysomething-year-old lawyer. This is Justice Antonin Scalia. It
does not require his power to ruin my career. The amount of power in his pinky
finger was quite sufficient. So as a result, I was never tempted to betray his
confidences and I doubt I ever will be. He only said it once, and other than
that was quite a genial boss. But in that one moment, you really got the sense
that he was serious.
If each justice has about four clerks, the number of people
with access to the document was quite limited. It should not be impossible to
discover who leaked it. Trust is gone, severely limiting the normal functioning
of the Supreme Court, until the leaker if found and removed.
Oddly, the story being talked about in media and by the
Biden administration is ignoring this man-bites-dog level of out-of-the-ordinary
leak. It is concentrating only on the contents of the leaked document.
The Pressure
Campaign
The document is the draft majority opinion, authored by
Justice Samuel Alito, on the Dobbs case. That’s regarding the Tennessee
law prohibiting abortion after 15 weeks. Tennessee asked the Supreme Court to
consider reversing Roe and Casey as they determine whether the
Tennessee law was constitutional. The opinion is close to a hundred pages long,
carefully and accurately detailing the wrongness of Roe and Casey.
This should be no surprise to anyone. First of all, the
Court chose to take up the case; that showed a willingness to consider the
issue. Second, we all heard the oral arguments in December. Third, we have known Alito to be a reliable conservative on the Court likely to
go this direction.
The process of the Court is to circulate and exchange opinions.
Then the other justices decide whether they concur in full or in part. They may
like an outcome but prefer to emphasize a different line of reasoning. Or they
may dissent, and then write their dissenting opinion based on refuting the arguments
in the majority opinion. Or they could be persuaded by the arguments another
justice makes and actually change their opinion.
What the leak has led to, however, is an opportunity for the
pro-abortion crowd to stir up emotion, fear, and pressure—in the hopes of
persuading a justice or two to change their positions—more out of fear than
persuasive argument or even a sense that the country is against such a ruling.
This includes fear for their lives and the lives of their families—which means
that people whose goal is to kill as many babies in the womb as they possibly
can might also be willing to kill older humans.
By the way, the American people may have some mixed ideas
about whether Roe should be overturned, but they are definitely not in step
with this pro-abortion-under-all-circumstances-up-until-birth mob that’s doing
so much wailing and teeth gnashing. Stu Burguire shows some statistics on his show from polling.
stats shown on Stu Burguiere's show screenshot from here |
more polling data shown on Stu Burguiere's show screenshot from here |
What If…
If Roe and Casey are overturned, what does
that mean? It means that, because the Constitution is silent on abortion, it is
a decision to be left to the states. I believe there is—and always has been—an argument
on the pro-life side that the life of the pre-born deserves protection under
the Constitution. There are places in law where that life is protected, and taking that
life is punished as murder; but calling it abortion and pretending that it is a
woman’s healthcare choice has muddied the clear understanding. So now it is better to give the decision back to the states than to dictate from Washington.
If states are to be able to make the decision, they will
make varied decisions—as do most of the nations in the world, only a few of
which (the ugliest regimes, as it happens) allow abortion as freely as the US
has.
We know much more about the growing fetus than was known at
the time of Roe. That it is a life, well before viability. Viability is getting
ever earlier. And, in fact, there’s already a heartbeat as early as six weeks. Logically,
biologically, there is a growing person with their own identifiable DNA from
conception on. Growth is a sign of life. And the DNA shows it is not only human
life, but a unique individual person.
Casey set aside the 3-trimester/3-rules system
invented in the Roe decision, giving a nod to the viability standard but mostly
ignoring the “when does the life of a baby become important?” question and
switched to the “undue burden” standard. States could regulate abortion—as long
as they didn’t create an undue burden on that woman who was planning to kill
her pre-born child.
Without Roe and Casey, states where people
value life will become free to limit or eliminate abortion. States where people
want to keep killing the pre-born will be able to do that. California has
already volunteered itself as an abortion destination, with free flights to
their state to kill your baby. New York is likely to continue killing more
babies than are born. No one will be more than a two-hour plane trip from an
abortion clinic. And you can assume there will be nonprofits willing to pay for
those trips. So, all those cries of desperation and deprivation for women are
unfounded.
It's hard to say whether this change will prevent any
abortions. It certainly won’t prevent any of the determined ones. But maybe it
will prevent some of the hesitating ones—the ones where a young woman is scared
and uncertain and asks for help and relief, and instead of getting good
information and encouragement to seek alternatives, she is pushed into having
an abortion. Those might be prevented.
When the mobbing crowds show up with their coat hangers and
printed posters to protest in front of the Supreme Court, they’re hyperbolic
and emotional—on purpose. For what a Disinformation Governance Board ought to
see clearly as disinformation, but of course won’t.
Elizabeth Warren, in a raging rant about Roe, made the rounds, but I go this screenshot from Glenn Beck's Wednesday special |
There’s a larger goal. Use this issue. Use it to try to push
forth legislation to “codify Roe.” That’s the claim, although they’re
throwing out that “viability” standard entirely and planning to enforce
abortion up to the moment of first breath outside the womb—or maybe beyond.
They’ll push that through by claiming it’s about a woman’s body—ignoring the little
person whose life they’re snuffing out. And they will need to eliminate the
filibuster in order to push through something so at odds with what most of the
American people want. And, since they’re eliminating the filibuster, then they
can push through other things, like court packing; i.e., adding more partisan
justices to the Supreme Court.
They already have the legislation ready for a vote next
week. That doesn’t mean they’ll get it. But it does mean they had this planned
for a while and were waiting for the right moment.
Yesterday the ACLJ mentioned on their podcast that Politico, the outlet that leaked the
memo, had given the administration a heads up about their plan days ahead of
Monday. Probably they were asking for comment for their article. But that
advanced notice is why you could see printed signs and large crowds appearing outside
the Court building almost immediately after the news came out.
The
Ruling Is Just the Beginning
If the SCOTUS ruling goes through as we hope, then the
battle—or rather many more local battles—will begin in the states. In some
states that means outlawing most or all abortions. Here in Texas we have a
trigger law, saying that, if Roe is reversed, abortion is illegal in
Texas except to save the life of the mother. This trigger law wasn’t actually
necessary, because Texas law prior to Roe is still on the books, and
that outlawed abortion in the state.
Some other states may limit abortions and regulate clinics.
Other states, unfortunately, will allow them under all the conditions they have
been doing them for some time—or maybe worse.
But it would take the condemnation for this abomination off the American people as a whole. Some states would remain condemned by God. But some states—and the people in them—could fight successfully for the life of the not-yet-born. And we could fight for the souls of women in crisis, who don’t want to be Moloch worshippers, but are led to that path with the lie that it’s easy and there’s no other choice.
Glenn Beck shared this tweet and image of Moloch on his Wednesday special. Moloch worship meant they could engage in any debauchery they wanted, and all they had to do was sacrifice their children. Sounds familiar. |
Pro-abortion people are not pro-choice. They do not want any
state to make a different choice. They do not want any woman to get the
information that might cause her to make a different choice. Pro-abortion people want to force
their depravity on all of society—and coerce society to pay for the abomination with
their taxes. This is an all-out war of evil against good. Spoiler alert: Good
wins. But in the meantime there’s going to be a crazy amount of evil thrashing around
in desperation. That’s what we’re seeing.
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