The highest unemployment rate is listed at 37.9% for black teens, compared
to 22.8% for white teens. But looking at adults, blacks deal with 14.3% for men
and 12% for women, compared to an overall rate around 8%. The storyline is that
there must be some racism going on. But what if you add in a few other
questions, like:
·
Education level?
·
Family structure?
·
Location?
·
Legal history?
I don’t have it all spelled out, but there is some evidence
that some specific behaviors and choices are playing a part much more than
racism.
What I heard that piqued my interest was that, with this
apparent racial economic disparity, there’s a more-or-less apples-to-apples
comparison that tells a different story. (All this is spelled out, with charts,
in this piece by Robert Rector at The Heritage Foundation, including the charts below.)
Economic poverty is high among black families, but among
black married households, the poverty rate is only 7%. That is about double the
poverty rate of married white families, but it is only half the poverty rate
(13.2%) among married Hispanic families. Meanwhile, among non-married black
families the poverty rate is 35.6%, very close to the rate for non-married Hispanic
families: 37.9%. (I’m assuming these families are defined as an unmarried
parent, usually the mother, and at least one child under 18.) For non-married
whites, poverty hovers around 22%.
Married black families have a poverty rate of less than a
third of non-married whites. And that is before we take into account education
level and other factors. Just for
perspective, combining all races and education levels, non-married families
have a poverty rate of 37.1%, and among married families that rate is 6.8%.
I don’t have data that separates out education level by
race. But the data combining education levels and marital status is
informative.
Single parents who are high school dropouts (of any age, so
this averages in those who are 10 to 15 years into parenthood and may be
gaining some employment experience) have a poverty rate of 58.8%. Being married
brings that down to 24%—meaning you’re less than half as likely to be in
poverty, even as a high school dropout, if you’re married—even to another high
school dropout.
For high school graduates, non-married families are likely
to be in poverty 38.8% of the time (just above the overall poverty rate for non-married
families of any race or education level). But families with only a high school
diploma and no other education, if they’re married are in poverty only 8.9% of
the time. Married high school graduates have a better than 91% chance of
avoiding poverty, just because they remain married.
Greater education improves things. Single parents can decrease
their poverty rate to 27.8% with some college, and down to 10.6% if they graduate
from college. Note that non-married educated parents don’t quite measure up to
the chances of avoiding poverty that married high school graduates have, but
clearly education helps. But these last two groups, if they’re married, have
poverty rates of only 4.6% and 1.8% respectively.
So clearly college and marriage help. But marriage helps
more than education. Add marriage to a college education, and you’ve improved
your chances of avoiding poverty about 6-fold. You’ve virtually guaranteed rising
to the middle class or better.
There is a formula for avoiding poverty that we’ve known
about for quite a while. I wrote about it back in February, and first came
across the data a decade ago. The more data we get, the more the basic truth
becomes evident.
- Don’t have sex before age 20.
- Don’t have sex until after marriage.
- Stay married.
- Obtain at least a high school diploma.
My guess is
that homes, churches, and private schools are going to be much better at
inculcating this formula than government. Government is woefully ill equipped
to educate, especially when the subject matter looks religious. But, religious looking or not, the data is
simply factual.
Here at
Spherical Model we’re aware that living a civilized life is much more likely to
lead to financial prosperity than living an uncivilized life (savage, southern
hemisphere on the spherical model). The political, economic, and civilization
spheres overlay one another. That’s how we know that taking money from
productive people and giving it to people in poverty will not and cannot lift
those people out of poverty. Poverty can be solved—for an extremely high
percentage of people from every race and gender—within a generation by
following the formula. This will become even more evident if government gets
out of the way of the country’s economic prosperity.
There may
still be a percentage in poverty, even among those who try to do everything
right. But already, among those who live the formula, the problem is so small,
it would easily be solved by private philanthropy.
There are
other, big, daunting problems worldwide. But if strong families praying together
can, in a relatively short time historically speaking, solve poverty, then
strong families praying about the other problems might yield the other solutions
we hope for as well.
This
election matters. It matters monumentally. It determines whether we continue in
a direction that leads inevitably down to tyranny, poverty, and savagery, or in
a direction back up toward the thriving our nation’s founders tried to make
possible and permanent for us—“if you can keep it,” Benjamin Franklin added. So
the election is something we must pay attention to.
But after
the election, once our direction is determined (hopefully northward on the
Spherical Model), then we have a lot of work to do, starting with our own homes
and radiating out from there.
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